And with five furlongs remaining to run, and with the pace strong, Robby Albarado asked Curlin for his life, as the jockeys say, and the reigning Horse of the Year responded, sweeping up on the outside to take command. On 11 other occasions, the tack worked.
The momentum might have carried Curlin to the lead but it might not have sustained his run at a second consecutive championship. It could be worse than that. The legacy that his connections were crafting for him might have wilted in the heat of the California sun, over a surface that seemed unkind.
“It was a turf race,” trainer Steve Asmussen said. “It absolutely was the Pro Ride surface that got him beat. “Maybe he’s not a synthetic surface specialist. I don’t know," said the main on his back. "He was paddling around.”
The rest of Robby Albarado’s explanation rang true as well. “Curlin did what he does, going by horses. He made his run but got a little late [tired] in the stretch. I can’t answer whether or not the track had anything to do with it.”
Whether or not the long season, punctuated by a trip to Dubai, took its toll is another potential explanation. But he simply remained one-paced after getting the lead. He kept trying, like champions do, but simply was outrun in the late stages.
Clearly, it didn’t help him yesterday. When his rivals closed in, pressuring him to run faster, he struggled. He strained into his bridle but the fleet closers were coming faster now. The Europeans came loaded and laid it on the entire home team.
Five wins plus five seconds equals dominance.
And if you think this year was tough on the home team, wait until 2009. The Breeders’ Cup is coming back to Santa Anita as will the Europeans, en masse. Raven's Pass and Henrythenavigator, the Classic Euro exacta, are just the beginning.
And maybe invaders will come from the other direction. Not all Far Eastern-based runners are handled as curiously as Casino Drive.
Twenty five years ago, the Breeders’ Cup was created as an end of year series of races to crown champions in competition, further defining themselves against some of the world’s best.
Synthetic surfaces are going to change all that. They are the great international equalizer. Yesterday, at the Great Race Place, the American Thoroughbred game changed forever.
America was the place where you could find the best bloodstock on the planet, before the Europeans and the Japanese and oil rich sheikhs figured they could bring money and raid the cupboard. Now, with the help of artificial surfaces, they will come and raid the purse coffers, too.
American racing had better start thinking about a way to reinvent itself. By all evidence, the best horses in the world may not live here anymore.
Best Breeders' Cup Ever?
Immediacy makes for strange perspective. Unlike a handful of my colleagues who’ve covered every one, this was my 21st, Breeders’ Cup, missing only Woodbine, Hollywood and two at Churchill.
But even if the one conducted this weekend at the foothills of the San Gabriels wasn’t the best, it clearly was my favorite.
Maybe it was the low expectations, given the surface controversy. And it’s such a difficult event to cover. So many horses, so many superfectas, so little time. But there was a certain sense of foreboding. The specter of Eight Belles lingers.
And the panacea, the artificial surface? There were five catastrophic breakdowns during the Oak Tree run-up to Breeders Cup, four during training hours. To appreciate that impact, consider that in 36 days of racing at Saratoga this summer, there was one fatality. It came during a race, on turf, a horse’s natural, kinder surface.
The founders envisioned seven defining events. The branders upped the ante double. And the added races were not all of championship caliber. Six races are ungraded. It was worship at the altar of parimutuel handle.
But it was more, too. I failed to appreciate the notion of a festival atmosphere that two days can generate. That one the branders hit clear out of the park. And who could have known that both days would be marked by such high performance levels.
And say this for the synthetics. It sure brings most of the horses together, although if speed is your thing you might consider taking up another pastime. Me? I’m planning on attending my 22nd, looking to repeat something like this:
Most thought a European would win the Marathon. They were right And wrong. But what most American bettors didn’t appreciate, class notwithstanding, was that Sixties Icon was too slow and ill suited to the prevailing pace scenario. But not Muhannek, the fresh, sharp, pointed and faster invader, who, perfectly positioned, fired, then withstood late finishing Church Service. Patrick Smullen, who could do know better than fifth in seven previous Cup rides, is off the Breeders’ Cup duck. “Everything went to plan,” Smullen explained. “I wanted to put myself in the position that I could go on the back turn. The horse fought all the wire to the wire. It worked out beautifully.” It was the first Cup win for trainer Ralph Beckett.
* * *
You could almost see the arm pumps at Aqueduct just as Desert Code crossed the line. Richard Migliore had this one coming. He was supposed to win another Breeders Cup turf race, the Mile, on Artie Shiller, but an injury sidelined him and Garrett Gomez picked up the mount and the win. So it was some fated karma when Gomez, who rode Desert Code for David Hofmans in the G3 Morvich Handicap last out, opted for Idiot Proof yesterday and Migliore, who rode Desert Code to his most recent win down the hill here last March, reunited with the 4-year-old and timed the winning run precisely, nailing Diabolical right on the post. For Migliore, the 14th time was the charm, his best previous finish a third on the Irish filly Mourjane 23 years ago. The hill makes this race what it is. Around one turn, It would be just another turf sprint. Good show.
* * *
The favorite could have been luckier. Well Armed found himself in a jackpot virtually the whole way, especially when jammed and forced to steady wide into the first turn, but it wouldn’t have mattered. He raced empty throughout. Meanwhile, Two Step Salsa outran some very quick older horses early, repulsed challenges, and at headstretch kept going and going, even though you knew the pace would take a toll. Garrett Gomez must have known it too. Third to the favorite in in the G1 Goodwood, Gomez bided his time until launching his mount into high gear a quarter mile from home, Albertus Maximus grinding out the win all the way home; Gomez’s second Cup score in two days.
* * *
Goldikova was supposed to be over the top, ill suited to the ground and course configuration, too short for her late brilliant turn of foot. Better make that electric turn of foot. Daytona had mid-moved to the lead and the race was on in earnest. Kip Deville, not as keen early on as you’d like to see him, was ground saving behind Goldikova. But at headstretch Cornelio Velasquez tipped the defending champion wide and looked a winner midway home. But the French filly found a seam and Olivier Peslier guided her through and she exploded, opening two lengths in an instant. Trainer Freddie Head, who trains her and rode the first dual Breeders’ Cup winner, the great Miesque--the filly he’d been comparing Goldikova to all week--was correct in his assessment. Next year she turns 4, Can’t wait to see her kick when she, you know, matures. Head became the first person to ever ride and train a Breeders’ Cup winner.
* * *
All week, the West Coast wise guys were questioning the quality of the horses coming out of the Norfolk. Don’t think they will any longer. How good was Midshipman? Sent away from the 11 post by Garrett Gomez, the colt battled on a strong pace throughout, opened a little more daylight into the stretch, then withstood a game, re-rallying Square Eddie. Indeed, the Pro-Ride had been playing glibly these afternoons but anytime a baby runs a mile and a sixteenth in 140.96, that’s a serious run. And so GG rode a natural double, giving Bob Baffert six BC wins, including his second Juvenile (Vindication in ‘02). At this rate, Baffert might become a synthetic fan after all. Not quite sure, however, Midshipman nailed down an Eclipse title. He owns two victories to one over Street Hero, the Norfolk winner. But it will depend on how voters view dual G1 winner Vineyard Haven, who skipped this dance, and which horses come back to dance again in the Cash Call Futurity at Hollywood in December.
* * *
The Breeders’ Cup committee must have known something, scheduling the Juvenile Turf after the Juvenile. With Aidan O’Brien’s Westphalia on the inside beneath Johnny Murtaugh, and John Gosden’s Donativum on the outside, Frankie Dettori up, the head-to-head final yards battle was a beauty, Donativum winning the sprint home. Perhaps Westphalia was best, given the trip, breaking sideways and losing valuable forward position. Midway of the backside, however, Murtaugh asked Westphalia to move closer, which he did, but was forced to wait, again. The combination of all this might have been the difference in the losing head margin, taking nothing from the winner. It was a grand welcome home for Gosden, who came from Great Britain to California, enjoyed a successful career, then returned oversees. He has a reputation for not firing many blanks when pointing for an engagement. It was well earned. Donativum fired a big one all right.
* * *
A triple for Gomez, a double for Baffert, a repeat victory by defending Sprint champion, and a Breeders’ Cup Sprint record of 1:07.08. The disappointing news? It didn’t threaten the Santa Anita record of 1:06.53 set by Bob Black Jack in February, a period when all records fell. The situation was so dire then that racing was cancelled while the track was repaired, eventually leading to the installation of Pro-Ride. The pace was fast, of course, but this behemoth would have run down the group under any circumstances. His mid-turn momentum carried him extremely wide into the lane and, despite the ground loss, you knew he’d win. As the official was posted, there still was no word whether Baffert removed the plate protecting Lute’s quarter crack. But this much is clear. It wasn’t the Midnight Lute that raced at Del Mar this summer but more like the version who inhaled the sloppy competition last year at Monmouth Park.
* * *
In the early days of Breeders Cup, provincial Americans had a jolly time poking fun of European riders. “Hey, could you stand up just a little taller, please?” “Hey, could you stop trying to imitate a monkey doing the nasty with a football?” Well, they put on quite the show yesterday. Smullern could not have timed it better in the Marathon. Murtaugh and Dettori looked like Cordero and Velazquez out there. This guy Ryan Moore isn’t too shabby, either, finally winning a G1 for Conduit, the budding three-year-old’s fourth victory in six starts this year. Credit Michael Stoute, a.k.a. Sir Michael Stoute, for that. Moore timed Conduit’s run perfectly, the Irish-bred colt pounding the firm ground to victory, benefiting from a strong pace that frankly saw Murtaugh moving aggressively and prematurely with a half mile still left to run.

26 Oct 2008 at 05:34 am | #
JRP,
Congratulations for getting it right when you said, “Yesterday, at the Great Race Place, the American Thoroughbred game changed forever.”
I couldn’t agree more. Here is the final 2 paragraphs from my post-Cup column:
“The bottom line is this. Most people who went into Breeders’ Cup weekend with an open mind are certain to have been impressed. The naysayers, many of whom plagued the sport years before the introduction of synthetic racing, are doomed to be swallowed up by logic.
The future of Thoroughbred racing was on display at Santa Anita in the Breeders’ Cup, and that future is now reality.”
26 Oct 2008 at 08:11 am | #
John,
I believe it is a very positive situation when the Breeders cup evolves into a true world championship...yesterday was the first step toward that goal. Hopefully representation from Australia,Hong Kong etc. will have a presence in next years championship.
The real question is what happens when the Breeders cup is switched to a dirt track venue? Or have we seen the last cup run on the dirt.
26 Oct 2008 at 02:07 pm | #
Mr.Pricci:
Great analysis, as always.
I have been playing thoroughbreds for some 35 years now and I just want to ask...when did the game change so much? a 3 yr old filly beating older males? 3 year old colts beating older experienced Grade 1 horses? two 3 year old colts who have never run a mile and a quarter win the 5 Million dollar Classic against experienced older legitimate Grade 1’s?
And let’s not forget Andy Beyer actually picking the Classic winner at $29??
Are we still in America or did I miss the transfer to Mars?
Thanks for listening..and for your great columns.
Victor Churma
26 Oct 2008 at 02:11 pm | #
sorry meant win and place
27 Oct 2008 at 05:22 am | #
As Delaware’s race card started at 10:45 Saturday morning, I was at the local OTB early. I bet the daily double and pick three then went back to my car in the parking lot with another OTB lowlife to handicap other tracks.
There was a steady flow of cars into and out of the parking lot all day. New faces, very casual bettors, were going into the OTB obviously wagering on the Breeders’ Cup races, then departing promptly; many scurrying to their cars, head down, collar up, casting furtive glances over their shoulder - apparently not wanting to be recognized. Surprisingly, many were female and a good number of the new faces were young people.
All these casual bettors (aka slot players), no doubt, having learned of the BC ‘event’ via the turf media; all totally unaware that every Saturday, year round, identical races are being held at numerous racetracks throughout the country. A Rolex watch and a Timex watch both provide the time accurately, though the Rolex to the human eye appears a bit more impressive. A BC race and a claiming race both produce the same results; however, there is a difference from the watches: the human eye cannot note any difference whatsoever.
Hopefully, I have read the last commentary about Curlin and Big Brown; I have a feeling that their names will be replaced very soon by yearlings being trained by the ‘Big Eight’ (Asmussen, Pletcher, McLaughlin, Mott, Zito*, Baffert, Dutrow, and Frankel) when they turn three years old on January 1. And, it will be the same year repeated over yet again: turf writer commentary on the road to the Kentucky Derby, with new ‘stars’ created virtually every week.
*Has horses now at Suffolk and is winning at over 70%. Notice that some of the Big Eight trainers are now at Philadelphia? These guys are everywhere.
27 Oct 2008 at 01:26 pm | #
Wendell,
Aren’t you being a little disingenuous? Your Big 8 won only 3 of the 14 Breeders’ Cup races. I would think you would jump at the chance to beat these guys when the payoffs are the most generous.
I’d also point out you are the one who uses the term “lowlife” for a horseplayer. I’ve seen thousands of people walk in and out of OTB branches in New York, and have yet to see one who had their “head down, collar up, casting furtive glances over their shoulder - apparently not wanting to be recognized.”
Self-esteem issues?
27 Oct 2008 at 02:21 pm | #
Mr. Kling: You got it right! I have self-esteem issues. I actually have been a failure at every thing I have ever tried, except two things: gambling on the nags and golfing. At one time, I was pretty good with a golf club in hand; in fact, golf got me started in gambling, where I would look forward to the weekends where I could make some real good money.
In time, my golf game started to slide, while my gambling on the nags improved. So, that’s the story.
Now, all I have going is looking at tomorrow’s double at a few tracks.
I wish you had commented on just what is the difference between a claiming race and a stake race, other than purse. If you can note the difference, then I would like to put you to the test: I have many tapes of races, and I would like you to tell me after watching the tapes I provide which were the stake races and which were the claiming races. Many have tried already, and all have failed. And the reason they failed to select the stake races is because there is no difference.
27 Oct 2008 at 04:07 pm | #
Wendell,
As to your last point, the same could be said about any team sport.
Play a baseball or football game in a generic stadium with generic uniforms and you can’t tell if it’s the major leagues or Class A ball. But we like the top echelon just the same. It’s human nature.
27 Oct 2008 at 04:46 pm | #
Both Mr. Pricci and Mr. Kling have viewed tens of thousands of races. When was the last time (except for those rare, now gone, balcony Belmonts) you saw so many races won by horses going 20 wide? Think....Have you ever seen winning moves like this (in multiple races) at tracks like Churchill, Gulfstream, Fairgrounds or Saratoga???? The notion that these synthetic tracks “change the game forever” overlooks 200 years of American dirt racing. Any experienced race observer has to realize that what was seen at Santa Anita this past weekend bears little relation to real dirt racing. I, for one, enjoy dirt racing....Seems that you guys are quick to jettison it. Given the proven safety of good dirt tracks (better than all these synthetics, especially when time has shown the synthetics do not age very well), why the rush to totally change racing?
27 Oct 2008 at 08:09 pm | #
Is the Breeders’ Cup catering to Europeans upending American Tradition for the last 25 years. We may as well require Americans to drive on the wrong side of road(the right way for euros)too and throw everything out the window. I thought America had its own traditional benchmarks crowning champions. Dirt pedigrees will become meaningless. Look at the G1 Bluegrass at Keeneland for instance. It has lost all creditability as a major triple crown prep since switching to poly. I’m for international competition but not at the expense of ignoring the history of American racing. Hell, make all training tracks synthetic and keep racing on the dirt since we are only running on it for 100 seconds or less. Why weren’t track records reestablished when pro-ride was installed? The current SA track records are skewed since it was a different surface and was scraped due to drainage problems which created absurd results.
28 Oct 2008 at 04:37 am | #
Susan,
When the atomic bombs were dropped on Japan at the end of World War 2, war was changed for ever. The genie was out of the bottle and wasn’t going to be stuffed back inside, no matter how much we might have wished it.
That’s what happened Friday and Saturday at Santa Anita. When racetracks, breeders, horsemen, and many racing fans, look at this Breeders’ Cup, versus the mess at Monmouth in 2007, or the mess at Belmont in 1995, there is little doubt which they prefer.
Regarding your reference to the perceived running style of the Pro-Ride winners at the Cup, here are some alternate facts.
I kept a daily track bias log for Santa Anita and Belmont Park this fall. The difference between the two in terms of speed was this. For every 15 or so races, there was ONE LESS wire winner at Santa Anita than Belmont. That one less wire winner was replaced by a horse stalking the pace from mid-pack. That is hardly a seismic shift in track bias.
Speaking of bias, when Inside Information went wire to wire and dusted her rivals in the 1995 Distaff at Belmont, do you think she might have benefited from a track bias?
When Curlin beat Lawyer Ron in the 2007 Jockey Club on a dry track, the margin was a neck. When Curlin beat Lawyer Ron over the slop at Monmouth four weeks later, the margin was 30 lengths. Do you think the wet track and Monmouth that day might have been completely unfair to Lawyer Ron? Is it possible if Monmouth had been dry and fast that Lawyer Ron, or Street Sense, or Hard Spun, might have beaten Curlin?
When Easy Goer raced in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile in 1988, he raced over what Pat Day called “peanut butter” at Churchill Downs. Do you think the track bias that day cost Easy Goer the Juvenile win, versus an inferior horse named Is It True?
Racetracks have always favored some horses and hampered others. That was a fact long before synthetic surfaces arrived.
The Breeders’ Cup returns to dirt in 2010, and Cup officials should return it to Belmont Park in 2011. If they don’t, NYRA should program their great fall races to compete with the Cup, and that’s what I would recommend they do.
28 Oct 2008 at 07:09 am | #
John, you are bang on the best BC a perfectly managed horse won every race better still, depending upon an evaluation of Frankel, the top 25 chemists in America wre shut out no breakdowns for a fantastic group of performers was best of all the rest of the world will quickly build polys the BC will truly become a world champioship the best horses will win thank you Mr Gaines, Mr Nerud and Mr Watson, the first believer at NBC
28 Oct 2008 at 09:45 am | #
You people are so perceptive!
I’ve decided on an entrie blog dedicated to your comments. See BC Dairy for WED Oct. 29. And thanks for your loyal support of HRI and passion for the game.
John
28 Oct 2008 at 12:21 pm | #
Mr. Kling,
It is not as simple as just comparing the number of front running winners at Belmont to Santa Anita (your implication being that with similar results, the tracks are similar). These synthetic tracks are just a different game. Sure, you can point to odd days when track bias pops up on various dirt tracks (of course, ability to use these biases can make handicapping rewarding), but the synthetics seem to have permanent characteristics different from “normal” dirt. This is the reason I noted the high number of 20 wide runners in the Breeder’s Cup. I was not saying that Santa Anita had a track bias (bad rail), but rather using my observation to illustrate how different synthetic racing can be from the dirt racing we all have known. I have had some experience with English racing and one sees similar patterns there. In USA racing, ground loss usually is important, but, in England, on both grass and synthetics, riders pay little attention to ground loss (just like at Santa Anita) .....and, as noted earlier, the notion of improved safety with synthetics over good, well maintained, dirt tracks is just plain false. For example, Oaklawn, Saratoga, Churchill, and Belmont all compare quite favorably with the breakdown rates of Santa Anita.
28 Oct 2008 at 03:54 pm | #
John, it was wonderful for this former new yorker seeing you and all the ny media again. we all have different roles now. i really enjoyed your blog and you were very gracious in your comments. this was scary for all of us because we didn’t have the new track in place till september. so we’re very lucky. for a while i thought we would be putting in a new track every year. now i have to hope that the drainage is all its been made out to be and we’re home free. great seeing you. best, allen g
28 Oct 2008 at 04:47 pm | #
Right back at you, AG.
29 Oct 2008 at 08:12 am | #
Susan,
Call me Nick. My father was Mr. Kling.
Your points are well-taken. But rather than look at Pro-Ride as something to be avoided, I look at it as a bonus. What is wrong with: 1) having three surfaces over which to race, and, 2) inviting more European participation, which should only strengthen American racing? See JRP’s most recent Diary entry “Synthetic tracks...et al.”
I’ll repeat a comment I think I made before. No matter where the Breeders’ Cup is held, there will be horses which benefit and those which are hurt because of inherent bias. Anyone who believes there is no other possible reason than Pro-Ride which could have produced Curlin’s defeat is denying decades of racing history. Steve Haskin has an excellent column on this at Bloodhorse.com.
The solution is not a mystery. The Breeders’ Cup should be roughly divided into four venues: California, Kentucky, New York, and everywhere else. Unless Belmont or Churchill Downs switch to synthetics—a doubtful prospect—the result would be about 65 percent dirt and 35 percent synthetics.
Is that such a bad thing, given how glorious the racing at Santa Anita was last weekend?
PS: Your point about synthetics not being safer than dirt is not quite correct. No one knows whether it is or not, because there have not been any serious studies done. Anecdotal comparisons between track A and track B is not science, it is surmise. The studies should be done before more synthetic tracks are installed just because someone political nitwit thinks they are safer.
29 Oct 2008 at 01:48 pm | #
When has the BC been run on an even racetrack? How often are any races run on even racetracks? Talk about bias, BC 85,86,87,88,95,99,01,etc.
As Nick Kling points out, some horse has to benefit from the environment and others will not. Do you think Lady’s Secret had a chance in the ‘85 Distaff, Alysheba in the ‘86 Juvenile, anyone against Inside Information ‘95 Distaff, Banshee Breeze ‘99 Distaff, Lemon Drop Kid ‘99 Classic, anyone down inside Belmont ‘01.
I think speed was good in both Sprints---just outrun by terrific sprinters(perhaps two champs) as Indian Blessing and Fatal Bullet finished runner-ups. If multiple horses had outrun the high quality early speeds perhaps speed was in tough but that wasn’t the case.
Who thought Curlin
I has raced the same since the Foster? I was impressed how well he raced 1st time after Dubai. I was not impressed beating Past the Point and Wanderin Boy. And when did truly superior race horses need things their own way to win.
In addition, the winning moves were made wide but I thought a couple of sneaky moves were made on the rail.
I thought is was a great weekend of racing, I wish the weekend was Sat and Sun!
09 Aug 2010 at 03:45 am | #
You actually got the idea right man.
11 Aug 2010 at 12:38 am | #
I did not realize that.