Nine of the 10 Top Ten in the final pre-Breeders’ Cup NTRA Thoroughbred Poll will be racing, all but Richard’s Kid. That multiple Grade 1 winner has a future date in Dubai.
At stake will be championship titles in every division including, of course, 2010 Horse of the Year. Of the nine that will compete, only one, three-year-old filly Blind Luck, has locked up an Eclipse in that division no matter what happens tomorrow at 7:30 p.m.
Much already has been written about Zenyatta’s ability to earn the 2010 Horse of the Year title without a repeat victory in the Classic. But I can’t think of a single rival that got their own Sports Illustrated spread or had their names uttered in the same sentence with Oprah’s. Or had their names in lights welcoming visitors to the Standiford Airport while wishing her well on Saturday.
Voters ultimately will have to decide what all that’s ultimately worth when considering what a Horse of the Year should be. Traditionally, it has been the horse--usually an older male--with the best record in open company. But there’s no Horse of the Year rule book that says that’s the way it ought to be.
In 1997, the dominant juvenile champion, undefeated Favorite Trick, was voted Horse of the Year. His main weapon was speed. So which would you have backed in a proverbial match race: Favorite Trick or Skip Away?
In 1972, juvenile champion Secretariat won the first of consecutive Horse of the Year titles. But could Big Red have beaten the likes of the Whitney-Travers-Woodward winning Key To The Mint?
OK, so maybe he could have; Secretariat is widely acknowledged as the likely best of all time, certainly of the modern era, anyway.
Should Zenyatta win the Classic, there will be many who would argue that since she went 20-for-20, with back-to-back Classic victories, that distinction rightfully should be hers.
Perfection is impossible to knock. But wouldn’t you love to have seen Zenyatta vs. Secretariat at Belmont Park on the first Saturday of June, 1973? So, without a textbook definition, what does Horse of the Year really mean? And how do athletes from different eras compare, anyway?
As I was flying over one red state after another on my way to the Land of Rand Paul, I read Tom Pedulla’s feature piece on Zenyatta in USA Today and I thought about how superlatives don’t seem hyperbolic when she’s the subject. Exaggerated praise seems to come as easily as most of her 19 wins.
Sunday’s “60 Minutes” piece was more Jack Whittaker than Mike Wallace which is to say that it was reverential. CBS had a healthy respect for horse racing back the--and the racetrack isn’t the only sport I wish to hear Hayward Hale Broun again, waxing as softly and eloquently as his madras jackets were loud.
But when NTRA conducts its final poll on Monday, Week 36, for national release on Tuesday, the scores can really change depending on what happens at 6:45 Saturday night. Once again this week, Zenyatta was a unanimous selection.
Of course, there is sentiment for and Quality Road and Blame, each a deserving candidate. Quality Road has the more impressive resume, but Blame did run him down with a weight pull at Saratoga. If somehow he can do that again Saturday, the score between those two would appeared settled rather definitively.
There’s Horse of the Year support for Blind Luck, should her sixth transcontinental journey against America’s top older females prove successful. That’s a lot of traveling for any horse, but being a filly makes it special. “All the races I wanted to win were back East,” said Jerry Hollander at the post draw.
And should Goldikova win her third Mile, the first three-time winner in Cup history, how would that not be worthy of serious consideration.
But we love our Derby colts in America and Lookin At Lucky, the best of them, ranked second to only the “big mare,” will get his chance to put the deepest field of the year in his rear view, along with those horrible memories in May.
Any of the above are worthy of serious consideration. Then there’s Zenyatta, of whom Dale Romans on Tuesday said, “she came along to help racing when we’ve needed it the most.” On that, who could honestly disagree?
Tomorrow: Is Moss Having Some Fun, or Will Zenyatta Race Again in 2011?

04 Nov 2010 at 05:05 am | #
JRP,
You said, “three-year-old filly Blind Luck, has locked up an Eclipse in that division no matter what happens tomorrow at 7:30 p.m.”
Are you sure?
If Havre De Grace wins decisively, they will have split four decisions, and Havre De Grace will have beaten, by far, the best filly and mare field contested this year.
Obviously, Havre De Grace would have to win convincingly, with no legitimate excuse for Blind Luck.
Awards are supposed to be for the whole year, not just part of the year.
04 Nov 2010 at 05:06 am | #
Sorry for leaving this out.
In addition, if Havre De Grace wins the Ladies Classic, she will have beaten older mares, some of whom are very good.
Blind Luck has not, as of yet, beaten older mares.
04 Nov 2010 at 07:16 am | #
Preach,
I agree with Nick Kling and Steve Crist.
Why are you and others neglecting the outcome of the Breeders Cup races?
Why the need to crown champions before racings most important day?
Let Zenyatta and Blind Luck show their greatness by ending up in the winners circle this weekend.
Last year the Turf Writers caused a divide of horseracing fans by not giving Zenyatta her due of winning the Classic while RA didn’t show.
Why make that mistake again this year, let’s have the horses decide on the RACETRACK who is the best!
04 Nov 2010 at 07:16 am | #
Nick I agree Havre De Grace will win by a pole. The talent level for the classic is by far the best it has been in a while so on paper and watching race videos , Zenyatta does not seem to be in the top 4 finishers this year. Quality road is hoping to duplicate the Donn Handicap and if he does look out everybody. QUALITY ROAD COULD SET A TRACK RECORD FOR THE MILE AND A QUARTER. Blame and Haynesfield are in great form now.
04 Nov 2010 at 07:32 am | #
I am as sure as Quality road winning on Saturday as I am of Friday’s winners. 6th race Kathmanblu 7th My Jen 8th Beliave in A.P. 9th Harmonious 10th Hanre De Grace $1,000.00 to win on each
04 Nov 2010 at 07:36 am | #
Don’t misunderstand what I said. I don’t necessarily believe Havre De Grace is winning, just that the determination for the Eclipse shouldn’t be made before the race is over.
Post position is going to hurt Havre De Grace more than it will Blind Luck.
04 Nov 2010 at 08:43 am | #
Nick, I believe Havre De Grace will win because his last race was just a warm up for Friday. I watched his races and Blind Luck and the rest of the field, it does not matter what post position he leaves from because he will swoop the field anyhow. Mr. Rose is going to think he was back on Afleet Alex for just a second or two when he stars the swoop and you can count on him not thinking he had it in the bag like he did in the 2005 Kentucky Derby. Harve De Grace is looking to be the most underated horse on the card. The Brit’s are coming who cares this is America we are already here. We sent the Brit’s packing twice before so let’s do it a 3rd time shhhhhhh but we will need a little help just like before just ask John Pr. he was alive back in them there days. Now that was funny.
04 Nov 2010 at 08:59 am | #
It was a little chilly yesterday at Churchill,had a chance to see alot of good horses including Z, talked to some back track friends, the tote board this week-end will be awesome....the track is just about where you want it to be,a little rain and it will be perfect.....be careful laying to much money on favorites this year.......there are alot of upsets coming.....some big…
Had 5 winners yesterday.....
Good luck this week-end..
Time to head to the track..
04 Nov 2010 at 09:12 am | #
Like any great athlete in any sport. Zenyatta has done for racing what superstars like LeBron James, Derek Jeter and even Bret Favre does for their respective sports everyday give their sport headlines and exposure. Horse of the year is not a popularity contest if it was Saturday’s result in the Classic would not matter in fact none of the BC results would then. Crown Zenyatta HOY now. She is the most popular horse in America this year and possibly in the past decade-just ask the producers of 60 minutes. HOY is won on the track and if Zenyatta loses and Goldikova wins I’m voting for Goldy for HOY. No matter what happens on Saturday, it’s time to retired the grand mare and I’d like to see her get a date with Curlin. Now wouldn’t that be something to see down the road. Maybe what we never saw on the track we might get to see someday. Curlin sired sons or daughters by Rachel and Zenyatta compete.
04 Nov 2010 at 10:07 am | #
TP,
Imagine Jerry Moss saying he’s leaving his options open regarding Z in 2011. Apparently, he wants the all-time money title, too. Owned by? Right, owner arch rivals’s Curlin. Not sure you’ll see those in the breeding shed as a consequence.
Nick,
Sounds like you’re ready for some horse-to-horse action. Where’s Betfair when you need it?
And stop tweaking me. You’ve often written how BC results have overwhelmed an entire season now not so much? Can’t go on now, maybe later; too much to do. Have not looked at Saturday’s races for serious; only the prep work so far.
W: Save something for gas and tolls.
All: Five transcontinental trips, (8) 5-2-1 slate, three G1s, a nose defeat to her main 3-year-old rival while spotting her 10 pounds--10!
And now a sixth trip to take on elders? What does a three-year-old filly need do, anyway? Win the Woodward or something?
Back tomorrow,
JP
04 Nov 2010 at 10:09 am | #
I agree Zenyatta is something special because a win is a win no matter how they have come to be 19 and 0 that is outstanding. They [meaning horse ,owner ,trainer ,jockey] but you have to give smack to the horses or else she [Zenyatta] would be running by herself. Mike Smith had some awesome luck ,yes luck winning about seven of those races. The owner should withdraw her from the classic and save face. 19 and 0 is history 19 and 1 is just another horse. There are just to many great horses this year who are now just coming to the top and for Zenyatta to not even come in to the money on Saturday is a shame. Is it the greed or is it the record.
04 Nov 2010 at 10:39 am | #
JRP,
The Breeders’ Cup is weighted too heavily. Cup races deserve extra credit if the fields are top notch, but not if populated by below par fields.
Nevertheless, that doesn’t change what I wrote above. Awards are about the whole year. That’s why the NTRA always reminds voters to not forget races like the Hollywood Futurity and Remsen for Juveniles.
This Ladies Classic has a strong field and brings the 3yo together with the older mares for the first time.
You’re a Yankees fan. Imagine of the 1978 World Championship had been handed to the Red Sox when they had a 14-game lead in August.
04 Nov 2010 at 11:14 am | #
Joe I see you have done your homework coming up to the Breeders Cup. Quality road looks fantastic. He looks like a horse that is on a mission.
You might be on to something here and with Quality road on the rail , he will be able save save foot and establish himself wthout trouble. Good days are ahead of you I am sure. Joe also look for wraps before you post your wager that will be a sign [ blue wraps and then you will know what to do. God Bless
04 Nov 2010 at 11:20 am | #
Joe we will be able to uplink you on track when ever you say the word. I want you to see what is going on and it will be like a live feed. Let me know.
04 Nov 2010 at 02:57 pm | #
Should be noted that Blind Luck has won 3 Grade 1 races this year--which is 3 more than Havre de Grace has won!
Also, Blind Luck has beaten Havre de Grace in 2 of 3 times they have run head to head, including the Delaware Oaks where she spotted Havre de Grace 6 pounds.
The only time Havre de Grace beat Blind Luck, Havre de Grace received 10 pounds in her favor and Blind Luck was charging past her like an express train after the wire! At even weights tomorrow, Blind Luck will prevail.
04 Nov 2010 at 09:19 pm | #
Chuck from Saratoga = Jeremy Rose will have two winners on Friday. A huge bomb in the 5th race #3 and in the 10th race #11. The exacta in the 5th could be over $3,000.00 dollars. That horse in the 5th looked damm good winning his last race. I want to see this horse run on Friday.
04 Nov 2010 at 10:11 pm | #
TBK--Hope you hit that $3,000 exacta!
My longshot exacta tomorrow is Theyskens’ Theory with Awesome Feather in the 8th race. I’d be happy with a $200 payoff....