Thursday, January 09, 2014
Class Should Tell in Gulfstream Turf Feature
Today's featured 9th race at Gulfstream is a high class claiming/allowances mile and a sixteenth on the turf. Typically at this level, at this venue, it's a very competitive full field brimming with possibilities. The point? If you win, be sure you get paid no matter good the early line choices might look.
For us it comes down to an even half-dozen: Bombaguia (12-1), fast and tactical at the distance; trip-loving Sleepless Knight (10-1); English Progress (4-1), in peak form for Rick Mettee; Treasury Devil (8-1), working up a strom for the Clement/Bravo team and the turf meant/top connections Reload (6-1), making grass debut attracting Castellano.
Thing is, in an even like this, value is available even with the favorites if the thinking on this is clear. There is no question that Moro Tap is the best in paper given that he's been highly competitive or even has beaten better, toughened by the graded company he's kept.
Further, there might not be anyone riding the GP course right now better than Paco Lopez. Mike Maker is batting .400 with his Kentucky shippers and this gelded veteran exits the G3 Commonwealth that has produced two next out winners from four subsequent starters. Given the depth of the competition, early line odds of 3-1 should be available and no one should be willing to accept less.
Taking Moro Tap to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing him first and second in super-exotic money positions will all rivals listed above.
Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1451
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 444-276-222
Amount Wagered: $2,904 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,034.00
Profit to Date: $130.00