Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Monday, February 17, 2014

Nothing Comes Between Me and My Calvin

Virtually travelling to Hot Springs today for the Gr 3 Southwest Stakes, the penultimate stop on the way to the Arkansas Derby and it's no secret we're looking for the Wayne Lukas-trained Strong Mandate (2-1) to run as well in his season's debut as Will Take Charge did in his.

And we're looking for a strong effort from monster-working Tapiture (3-1), winner of the G2 Jockey Club Stakes in his juvenile finale.

But the play here is for value and, unlike his headier rivals, Ride On Curlin (6-1) had an important run over the track, a first rate sprint win, and he's run well in graded company going long, including the two-turn Street Sense at Churchill last fall in where he finished two lengths behind Tapiture after nearly blowing the first turn. He was also a good third to Havana in the G1 Champagne.

A race over the track is very helpful at Oaklawn and Borel will figure a way to save some ground even from post nine.

Taking Ride On Curlin to win at 5-1 or greater, key-boxing his in exactas with his rivals here, and adding sure-to-improve Coastline (8-1) to the exotics mix.

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1477

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 450-281-226

Amount Wagered: $2,956 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,070.40

Profit to Date: $114.40

Written by John Pricci


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