Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Finishing with Determinato
Today's Gulfstream Park feature is the Silks Run Stakes going 5 furlongs on the turf boasting its usual array of high speed and great kick that's so prevalent in races of this type.
It's wide open on paper but chances are that early line favorite Travellin' Man (3-1), because of a very tough trip and a very fast finish, a race in which he was probably best. That, and the Todd/Johnny team should spell underlay.
We don't usually take horses from a wide post in races of this type but am willing to make an exception of Determinato (18-1), who can kick home after showing excellent positional speed. With little gas directly to his inside, a clear break can enable a comfortable stalking position and the price is simply too tempting to ignore.
Taking Determinato to win at 8-1 or greater, key-boxing in exactas with the favorite and the very speedy Varsity (7-2), returning from a brief freshening for the top turf team of Clement and Bravo. We're adding Partyallnightlong (10-1) to the exotics mix.
Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1481
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 451-281-228
Amount Wagered: $2,964 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,073.60
Profit to Date: $109.60