Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, March 16, 2013

The Oaklawn Incident

In terms of quality and quantity, today's Rebel Stakes has it all. Realistically, it's hard to look past the three favorites, even if the 3-2 favorite breaks from the extreme outside in a field of 11, and if the 7-2 second favorite has not stepped foot on a racetrack this year, and even if the third choice is unlikely to be much higher than his 4-1 early line because he gets a favorable rider switch.

It' going to be a beauty and we're taking Oxbow (4-1) in an upset, even though favorite Super Ninety Nine and second choice Delhomme have run faster on the Equiform scale--and the latter did it as a 2-year-old.

But we're hoping that the Lukas trainee will sit a trip beneath Mike Smith, providing he takes advantage of his mount's tactical speed. Smith has been a little uneven in recent forays east of SoCal.

Taking Oxbow to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing him first and second in the multiples with his rivals here.

Number of Selections: 1276

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 391-242-196

Amount Wagered: $2,552 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,658.00

Profit to Date: $106.00

Written by John Pricci


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