Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Thursday, November 27, 2014


Mewannabigwinner


A Happy and Safe Thanksgiving to All the HRI Faithful and Their Families

The Fall Highweight Handicap might be anachronistic on several levels in this day and age but it's been a guilty pleasure of mine after getting weaned on the race the day the great sprinting filly Ta Wee spotted the boys weight and give them a thumping.

This renewal is very contentious featuring a little of everything, so I'm going to try to fatten my bankroll with price shot Mewannarose (20-1). He might not be good enough but the stars are aligned:

He has tactical speed and kick, an outside draw in a speed-laden group, goes well fresh, comes off a co-top Energy Rating, matching one earned here on this surface and distance previously, and attracts Johnny who should work out a favorable trip given the dynamics. Best yet, he's "in with a feather" at 124 pounds.

Taking Mewannarose to win at 9-1 or greater, key-boxing exactas with the very fast Bakken (5-2), the BC Sprint-bias-compromised Salutos Amigos (2-1), and adding the newly blinkered surface lover Captain Serious (12-1) to the super-exotics mix.



Number of Selections since 2007: 1647

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishes: 495-321-256

Amount Wagered: $3,294 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,400.40

Profit to Date: $106.40

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, November 26, 2014


Frivolity Can Be Fun


Today's allowance/optional claiming sprint is for fillies and mares 3 & UP going 6-1/2 furlongs. And what a difference that added sixteenth should make here.

Expression (8-5), the stronger half of the Charlton Baker entry, is fast and talented, likes the Big A main track, but her best races have come at the traditional sprint distance.

On the other hoof, Frivolity (3-1) is at home at either trip, she's a winner going 6-1/2 furlongs, and late developing 4YO improving incrementally for David Jacobson and is 1-for-2 at Aqueduct. Perhaps she should be the early line favorite.

No matter. We're taking Frivolity to win at 2-1 or greater, boxing the exacta with Expression, and adding Voodoo Tales to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1646

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishes: 495-321-255

Amount Wagered: $3,292 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,400.40

Profit to Date: $108.40

Written by John Pricci

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Sunday, November 23, 2014


Dee-Fence, Dee-Fence!


The following is a promotional supplement by arrangement with http://www.123gaming.com whereby we make selections for today's Pick 6 races at Parx Racing, featuring 123gaming's special fantasy contest wager in which you need not pick a perfect six to win; just finish ahead of the players. Go to http://www.123bet.com for further details...

For purposes of today's Feature Race Analysis, we're going on record with Guard The Rock (5-1) in the eighth race to win at 4-1 or better and key-boxing in super-exotics with Magical Fire (9-2), Energetico (5-2) and Queequeg (4-1).


123bet Pick 6 for Parx Racing, November 23, 2014:

FOURTH: This N4L is a complete scramble: 9-ROYAL SCRAMBLE (10-1) has been effective turning back in the past, has our competitive Energy Figures at the trip, is suited the by speedy dynamic here and Sanchez takes a return call. Sportacular (5-2) earned top figure score in last, seeks third straight but likely to regress making four start in 49 days; looms underlay.

FIFTH: 10-LOUISVILLE BOUND (4-1) gelded 4YO returns at his most effective distance, has the pace figures to earned position throughout from his outside slip and makes second start at this reduced level; LeBarron 25% effective with his beaten favorites. 7-WISE REMARK (10-1) finished willingly as pace was intensifying in last, likes this track, and blew out very nicely for this.

SIXTH: 8-SAVVY JOE (8-1) late developing 3YO filly never has raced this cheaply, both lifetime wins at this trip and reunites with winning partner McCarthy. 10-DENZEL (4-1) has earned the consistently fastest figures on our Energy scale and takes confident class rise off recent third-place finish. 4-PARK AVENUE APPEAL (3-1) is very sharp, Ryerson is profitable with his claiming types but has been most effective going a bit longer.

RACE 7: 5-MYTH MASTER (4-1) repeats effective turf-to-dirt pattern for barn that does well with its shippers; certainly fast enough. 6-JOINT DECISION (3-1) earned top Energy Figures when dropped into 16K starter allowances vs. state-breds in third start for Preciado; returns at same level but vs. opens today.

RACE 8: 3-GUARD THE ROCK (5-1) is very honest gelded 3YO claimed by sharp connections shipping in on Oct. 13; owns bounce-rebound pattern and takes confident rise for barn that’s 19% first time off the claim; appears to like this surface. 6-Magical Fire (9-2) has consistent early speed and earns good Energy Ratings; goes well for Caballero. 2-Energetico (5-2) appears to enjoy class edge but twice beaten at odds-on recently for Rudy. 7-Queequeg (4-1) ran off and hid for Lynch earned excellent Rating in return from long layup; could easily win this similar effort.

RACE 9: 6-ON OAKS DAY (2-1) showed stark improvement when dropped to this level two back by Rudy and has been training purposefully at NY base; should finally break through. 5-Sixtieth and Dune (9-2) showed marked improvement in second start, drops once more and worked well for this; mixed signals. 2-Its Up in the Air (7-2) benefits from turn-back following pace duel gong a bit longer in last; Lake 29% effective with his maiden claimers.

SUGGESTED BASIC PLAY: 9 with 7.10 with 4.8.10 with 5.6 with 3 with 6 ($24)

Double-check program numbers before wagering




Number of Selections since 2007: 1644

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishes: 495-321-255

Amount Wagered: $3,288 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,400.40

Profit to Date: $112.40

Written by John Pricci

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