Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Thursday, January 15, 2015


Georgia On My Mind


Last week, trainer Marty Wolfson had five fillies entered in Gulfstream's featured event. Today, he has only two of the seven fillies entered in this secondary allowances/optional, but one of them likely is the right one for the bettors to land on.

In a close call, we prefer Georgia (6-1) in a handicapping photo over Quiet Hour (3-1). Although she hasn't won since the summer meeting here, she has been earning competitive figures on our Energy Ratings scale while competing with tougher, owns a win over the track and both lifetime scores have come at today's trip, going 0-for-4 doing anything else. Further, she enters this off a New Pace Top.

Taking Georgia to win, no price restrictions, an exacta box with Quiet Hour, and adding classy returnee Got Lucky (8-5) and turf-to-dirt Elusive Fate (8-1) to the super-exotic mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1674

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-325

Amount Wagered:$3,348 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $120.80

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, January 14, 2015


No Demotions for the General


Today's GP feature, a secondary allowances/optional, features the return of General a Rod (2-1), making his first start since last year's Belmont--actually running in all three legs of the TC series.

Newly turned 4YO is training right along and Mike Maker said he'd like to consider running back in the Donn next month, so he's probably plenty fit. And he's the controlling speed from a good post and the most likely winner.

But he's no cinch on our Energy Ratings. Cozzetti (5-1) is right there, earning an identical Performance Projection of 92, and Three Alarm Fire (5-2) is right behind them at 90.

We're taking General A Rod to win at 7-5 or greater, key-boxing exactas with his rivals here, and adding Best Man (10-1) to the trifecta mix.


Number of Selections since 2007: 1673

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-325

Amount Wagered:$3,346 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $122.80

Written by John Pricci

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Sunday, January 11, 2015


Today at Parx: A Look at 123bet’s Unique Pick 6


HRI has entered into a promotional relationship with 123.gaming.com in which each Sunday we analyze the six races that comprise their unique Pick 6 contest wager. The current featured track is Parx Racing. The following is a profile of races 4 through 9.

The bet is different from the traditional Pick 6 in that a player gets points for first, second, and third-place finishes (based on pari-mutuel payoffs) by his or her selections in each of the six races.

For example, if a player’s horse finished second, paying $4.00 to place and $3.00 to show, the player would receive 7 points toward his or her total. The player with the highest number of points accumulated during the sequence is declared the winner, collecting 60% of the net pool. The second and third highest-scoring players also get a share — 30% for second and 10% for third.

Sign up to play the wager at 123bet.com, make your selections, and follow the live national leaderboards after each race! And if you complete the Top 10, you get your $2 back.

Today's feature race at Parx is the eighth. With respect to the daily running totals, we're going on record with Kazuri to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Patria Querida.

FOURTH: 2-BELLA FIGLIA (7-2) on and bounce-rebound pattern off top Energy Rating score, makes first start off the Pino claim dropping in class, 20-for-40 in that scenario most recently. 4-Black Lagoon looked good beating weaker last out but up in class and distance. 8-Tina’s Note makes third start off layup for Farro dropping to lowest career level.

FIFTH: 3-TINY PREDICAMENT (5-1) makes first start at reduced level following claim three back dropping properly with starter allowance rivals. 7-DAN’S GOLD (3-1) earned layover Energy Rating when narrowly beaten at 6-1/2 furlongs last out now tries two turns with questionable distance pedigree; mixed signals.

SIXTH: 6-ALISSA R N (5-2) has two good-figure efforts back to back, was claimed and gets promise of live apprentice. 8-KNIGHT SPRING (3-1), also entered with apprentice Ritvo, earned competitive rating in last now drops two classes, a 25% scenario, in second start for Lake.

SEVENTH: 5-OLD FASHIONED SONG (4-1) has been improving incrementally in recent start since claimed by Preciado. 4-HOLD THE WIRE (5-2) has won two straight, was claimed by Lake from last and taps winning partner Vaz for move into starter allowance ranks. 1-WHAT’S YOUR EXCUSE (6-1) comes off top Energy Rating score vs. preliminary allowance state-breds and might be very well spotted here.

EIGHTH: 2-KAZURI (5-2) never has taken a backward step in three career starts and drops back in with allowance types following game good-figure placing in recent Penn Natl. stakes. 5-Patria Querida also never has regressed but meets tougher set here.

NINTH: 5-SKY MASTERSON (2-1) placed gamely behind runaway winner when dropped to this level last out; has found likely spot for Farro, profitable with her claiming types.


Suggested Economical Sequence: 2 with 3.7 with 6.8 with 1.4.5 with 2 with 5---$24


BEST UPSET CHANCES:

Race 4: 8-Tina’s Note (5-1)

Race 7: 8-Farmer Jones (8-1)

Race 8: Patria Querida (9-2)

Race 9: 2-Strike Down (15-1)

* * *

Number of Selections since 2007: 1672

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 501-325

Amount Wagered: $3,344 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,465.20

Profit to Date: $121.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

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