Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Thursday, March 12, 2015


Hellenistic Tops Thursday Turf Feature at Gulfstream


If early-line odds ratios hold, there’s excellent value to be had in this turf two-turner. Hellenistic (9-2) is a layover by any measure, a likely and worthy favorite; 2-1 would be fair odds for a win play. Same can be said for our 2nd fave, Run of the River, at half the 6-1 early-win quote. Tote decides which one. Keying both on top two lines with Magic of Reality (5-2) and longer of the uncoupled Clement duo, Courtesan (10-1), in exactas and super-exotics. Adding underlay Bikini Baby 3rd and 4th spots in super-exotics.

For the record, taking Hellenistic to win, no price restrictions.


Number of Selections since 2008: 1703

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 511-330

Amount Wagered: $3,406 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,509.40

Profit to Date: $103.40 {Wednesday results not included}

For a complete Pricci Ratings breakdown of today's feature race, click on the blog section at http://www.123bet.com

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, March 11, 2015


City of Vengeance a Tough Out in Gulf Feature


City of Vengeance has a solid edge over today's rivals, hovering in layover territory. His debut was fast--but not too fast as to be considered an automatic regression--and he’s had 5+ weeks recovery time; blowing out strongly for this on Mar. 6. It’s 50-50 whether he runs back to debut, making 1-1 acceptable, if you agree with the premise.

Colormepompom and Grand Jr offer value at early line odds; consider a win bet on either or both, price-dependent, of course. I’m likely to key the fave in super-exotics, exacta box the three mentioned here, using D'tumbling Dice beneath our key(s) only. Late odds will dictate the win play.

Number of Selections since 2008: 1703

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 511-330

Amount Wagered: $3,406 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,509.40

Profit to Date: $103.40

For a complete Pricci Ratings breakdown of today's feature race, click on the blog section at http://www.123bet.com


Written by John Pricci

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Sunday, March 08, 2015


Trying to Be Smart in Gulf Feature


Today’s Gulfstream Park feature looks like a promising opportunity in that it’s wide open and each of the top four horses on our Ratings scale have a good margin over the early line Chad Brown-trained/Johnny ridden fave. The knock on top TER Smartfly is the November layup, but at 10-1 I can afford to gamble.

Beneath ‘Fly’ is a three-horse cluster in which Kitten’s Dumplings offers value at early line odds (5-1). Those two fillies are a good fit at the top of the ticket with exacta boxes including Lori’s Store (4-1) and Patsy’s Holiday (9-2). For the super-exotics, we will add Cay Dancer (3-1) on the third and fourth lines.

Given the layoff, we're going to need 6-1 or greater on Smartfly whereas 7-2 would be fair odds on the ‘Kitten’.

For the record, a win play of Smartfly at 6-1 or more.

Number of Selections since 2008: 1702

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 511-329

Amount Wagered: $3,404 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,509.40

Profit to Date: $105.40

For a complete rundown on today's race, click on the blog section at http://www.123bet.com

Written by John Pricci

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