Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, July 07, 2010
Shifting My Tack to Delaware Park
With Belmont canceled due to the extreme heat, we’re shipping down to Delaware for a three lifetime allowances-optional claiming 5-½ furlong sprint. With a lot of speed signed on and a premium to gain position, the race is contentious as it looks.
We think that, ultimately, the trip sitter will be Threetimesawonder (3-1). With Extreme Ways (4-1) looking very much like the speed of the speed, Threetimesawonder is coming from an improved-pace effort with good back figures has the gas to stay close and the kick to step on, earning a repeat win for a barn that’s 25 percent given that scenario.
The Lake/Rosendo team is going great in recent months, a profitable 37 percent when hooking up. This low profile rider is underrated, horses run for him, and he can finish strongly.
Taking Threetimesawonder to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him first and second in the multiples with Extreme Ways, race-shape fitting Diced And Sliced (8-1), and I’llthinkofsumthin, from a barn that’s a profitable 28 percent with recent claims.
Running Totals: (684) 219-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,538.30 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Monday, July 05, 2010
Qualia Continues to Blossom in Bed o’ Roses
Terrific renewal of the Grade 3 Bed o’ Roses at Belmont Park for fillies and mares sprinting 7 furlongs. Half the eight-horse field can win it, perhaps even five of these fast ladies.
The one thing this race doesn’t lack is early gas. Rightly So (2-1) could be the speed of the speed and is 2-for-3 at Belmont. But that might not help her against ship-in Lady Alexander (8-1), the speedball from Monmouth Park that just worked in :45 2/5 for this.
At least we’re looking for some sort of a duel because that will put Qualia (5-2) in the catbird seat. In a five-race career she’s done very little wrong. A neck defeat prevents her from a perfect 5-0 record.
Qualia came out running fast performance figures, that trend has continued, and she doesn’t appeared over-developed in terms of the improvement she’s shown from race to race. Returning in this time frame is perfect, a profitable 21 percent move for Bobby Ribaudo who, like his filly, hasn’t taken any missteps.
Taking Qualia to win at early line odds, boxing her in the exacta with RIghtly So, and keying her first and second in trifectas with the two fillies named above, adding late-running McVictory, making her second start for the Pletcher barn, to the mix.
Running Totals: (683) 219-138-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,538.30 [win selections only]
Due to the holiday schedule, we’re making selections on Monday this week. The FRA will return on Wednesday
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, July 03, 2010
Lots of Fireworks, and an Upset, in Belmont’s Suburban
A very interesting renewal of the Suburban Handicap. All eyes will be on the very classy returnees from long layups, I Want Revenge and Regal Ransom. I Want Revenge, returning from serious surgery and absent since the 2009 Wood Memorial is ultimately pointing for the Whitney and four of his five career defeats have come when he's fresh. Think I want him at 7-5 early line odds?
Then there's Regal Ransom (2-1), who has excellent early speed, has won at the distance and is working absolutely lights out for a barn, Saeed bin Suroor's, that's a very worthy, and profitable, 33% efficient off long layoffs. How about Convocation (4-1) who's certainly bred for nine furlongs but acts like a miler.
What has the New York bred Haynesfield done wrong lately. Seven for 10 in his career, 3-for-4 at Belmont and 2-for-2 at the distance, his prep for this was outstanding, a mile that went in 1:34 3/5, the last six furlongs in an eye opening 1:10 3/5. Breaking from the extreme outside beneath Ramon Dominguez, his excellent early speed and conditioning can keep him in the catbird seat until Ramon pushes the button.
Taking Haynesfield to win at 4-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Regal Ransom.
Running Totals: (682) 218-138-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,528.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci