Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Sunday, February 01, 2009
Albertrani’s Filly’s a Heckuva Price
Today’s NYRA feature, the Wistful Stakes for three-year-old fillies going a mile and 70 yards, is interesting in that you have some quick, rapidly developing young ladies one of which, early line favorite Chocolate Pop (7-5) is debuting for new connections looking to gain quick dividends.
As the fastest on performance figures, she is a worthy favorite in her first start for trainer Chad Brown as she was stakes placed twice recently--including her last under today’s exact conditions--despite having tough trips in each. Rajiv Maragh will ride her back.
What A Pear (5-2) is undefeated in two starts, both coming over this surface, and comes up to the route nicely off graduating distances. Well drawn, she is, however, a slow starter and actually missed the break last time out. What’s problematical is that she moved forward dramatically in her second start and comes back on relatively short rest. Therefore, a regression is likely.
Heckuva Hunter (10-1) is an interesting recent maiden winner. She’s improved markedly since adding blinkers two starts back, is and experienced road warrior and hails from the barn of Tom Albertrani, a profitable 23 percent efficient with horses coming back off recent maiden scores, especially over a distance of ground. Significantly, her recent performance figure matched her previous lifetime best and seems poised for a forward move here. At the price, it’s worth testing that theory.
Taking Heckuva Hunter to win at 8-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exacta and trifectas with her rivals here.
Running Totals: (354) 108-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $760.20 [win selections only]
I have no real feel for America's Game tonight at 6:28 p.m. You all know the handicapping storylines by now. To maintain some interest, and to keep a promise to a loyal HRI reader and--for informational purposes only--I took a small parlay; Cardinals and Under. So, enjoy.
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, January 31, 2009
A Passion for Improvement
Today’s feature in the big town is the Correction Handicap for older sprinting fillies going six furlongs. A six-horse field makes this one a bit trappy. Two of the half dozen can boss the pace but the feeling is this will be a “rider’s race” with strategy trumping style.
The one variable that seems certain is that Distorted Passion (2-1), while slower on performance figures than other major contenders, is still improving and boasts a strong developmental pattern.
A winner of half her four starts at the distance, she showed a liking for the winter surface by winning her inner-track debut after switching to Rajiv Maragh, a race that has produced no less than four next-out winners. Carefully pointed toward this, she breezed a bullet half-mile in :48 on the training track, best of 61 at the distance on Jan. 18.
Taking Distorted Passion to win at no lower than 2-1 early odds, and an exacta box with the fastest filly on performance figures, A Rose For You.
Running Totals: (353) 107-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $753.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Friday, January 30, 2009
Primed for Victory
Today’s NYRA feature is for three-year-old state-bred fillies going a mile. Although it has drawn a limit field, it nevertheless appears to be a two-horse affair, a battle of favorites La Concerto (5-2) and She’s Prime (3-1).
What separates these fillies from the rest are their proven ability at the distance or pedigree to handle a route of ground.
La Concerto comes from the barn of Steve Asmussen, who’s won with three of his last nine local starters, and who’s been 42 percent efficient when tapping leading rider Ramon Dominguez. Her performance figures put her at or near the top of this group and as a daughter of distance loving Aptitude, the added ground not only within her abilities but actually should move her forward.
But should or could are no substitutes for did. She’s Prime broke her maiden around two turns on this track after finishing a willing third in her sprint stakes prior. Her figures are marching forward incrementally, a good sign of further development, and she’s nicely drawn inside. Position conscious Rajiv Maragh will have her in this throughout, either from in front or just off the early pace.
Taking She’s Prime to win at 2-1 or better and an exacta box with La Concerto.
Running Totals: (352) 107-71-47 Total Dollar Return: $753.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci