Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, November 12, 2011

Taking History to Repeat

There's no question that Emerald Beech (8-5), trained by the redoubtable Jonathan Sheppard, is a deserving favorite, considering her accomplishments while racing in top company this season and earning superior figures.

But it's the defending champion in this race, Mekong Melody (5-2), who looks the most interesting. While not as accomplished this year, Roger Attfield's filly is 1-for-1 on this ground, 3-for-3 at marathon distances, and has been training with purpose at her Woodbine base. The favorite will need her 'A' race to beat her.

Taking Mekong Melody to win at early line odds or greater and an exacta box with the favorite.

Running Totals: (962) 299-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,063.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, November 09, 2011

Much To Like

Today’s Aqueduct feature, an optional claiming/non winners of 3 lifetime allowances for three year olds and up going a flat mile , marks the return of Mucho Macho Man, who raced very well indeed, right up until the Derby, in which he was third.

Then things began to slide thereafter, with tough trips in both the Preakness and Belmont, though a go in the Belmont probably was ill advised and, here it is, a half season later.

But after a layup of over five months, she been training well for his return and showed last fall that he loves the Big A surface, owning to runnerup finishes in the Nashua and Remsen behind then undefeated To Honor And Serve.

Taking sharp working Mucho Macho Man (8-5) with Dominguez to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Southern Ridge (5-2), making his first start for Todd Pletcher.

Running Totals: (960) 297-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,056.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, November 04, 2011

So You Think You Have the Classic Winner?

You all know everythng there is to know about the Classic by now. I've been looking at this race, hard, for two weeks and I'm not any closer to having a firm opinion.

The race comes down to either being for or against Uncle Mo. Not many have been a bigger supporter than myself but I'm against him here. Even though he loves, loves, loves Churchill Downs, there are just too many obstacles in his path; namely Havre De Grace, Flat Out and So You Think.

Of those, the filly is almost certain to run her 'A' race which will be good enough to make her the most likely to succeed. Flat Out has been working monstrously, indicating that he might be more than just a belmont horse. But 7-2 in the advance wagering is scary. Bet at 8-1? Absolutely. At 7-2, his odds as this is written, hardly.

Meanwhile, can't believe So You Think, who has accomplished much more than any of his rivals, including the wonderful filly, is 11-1, even with a mere $70,000-plus in the pool.

But we don't think his odds will plummet to any lower than 6-1. That's value on the "best horse" in the field. Yes, it's his dirt debut, but he's nimble and he's a fast galloper, getting Lasix and blinkers for the first time.

Betting So You Think to win at 6-1 or greater, and boxing the exacta with Havre De Grace and Flat Out.

Running Totals: (959) 297-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,056.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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