Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Delaware Feature Upsetter Tiz Miz Sue

Today’s feature at Delaware Park is a competitive six horse field that offers some value because of the presence of a Todd Pletcher-trained favorite, Union Waters (9-5).

Pletcher’s 25 profitable going short to long and the filly certainly has enough pedigree to get today’s mile and 70 yards. But those factors virtually guarantee she will be an underlay in the straight pool.

Meanwhile, Tiz Miz Sue is battled tested going long, having run in three Grade 3 routes, two on dirt, including an excellent placing at this level two back before trying the grass unsuccessfully.

But that’s the good news since trainer Steve Hobby is 2-for-3 recently going turf to dirt and Terry Thompson is on the re-ride. Her performance figures going long are among the fastest in the group.

Taking Tiz Miz Sue to win at 2-1 or greater, boxing her in the exacta with Union Waters, and adding Thundering Rose (6-1), from the sharp ship-in barn of Larry Horning, to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (669) 211-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,470.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, June 12, 2010

Upset At Ten

Today’s Grade 1 Ogden Phipps at Belmont Park is one of those rare opportunities to find value in a five-horse field. All eyes and most of the money will be on Unrivaled Belle (1-1), an improvement four year old filly who took the measure of Horse of the Year Rachel Alexandra at Churchill Downs in her latest start.

And who’s hotter in New York stakes company right now that trainer Bill Mott? Well, that answer might be Todd Pletcher, who sends out Life At Ten (3-1) seeking her fifth straight win.

While she has no experience at Belmont Park, where the favorite is 2-for-2, but Life At Ten has a subtle but significant pace edge on her main rival, finding herself in a paceless group, getting three pounds from the favorite and returning with excellent spacing for position conscious stable rider Johnny Velazquez.

Look for her to stalk overmatched Manitoba Miss, get the jump on the favorite and hold her safe to the wire. Taking Life At Ten to win at 2-1 or greater and boxing her with Unrivaled Belle.

Running Totals: (668) 210-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,463.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, June 11, 2010

A Two-fer You Can’t Refuse

Today’s Belmont Park feature is a secondary allowances-optional claiming for fillies and mares, 3 & Up, sprinting seven furlongs on the Wednesday turf. And Rick Dutrow appears to have his rivals over a barrel here with a two-ply entry.

First, Witchy Meeting goes first time for this barn that are a profitable 26 percent efficient with new acquisitions and you get Ramon Dominguez to boot. But it’s stablemate Diamond Dina (3-1) that appears more interesting.

This veteran mare showed her improvement beating weaker with authority last out and returns with suitable rest and a class rise, indicating confidence from this outfit.

Working well for this, stable rider Edgar Prado takes the mount again and given the mare’s versatility, she could sit off a hot pace or take command if no one else wishes. Two for one looks like a bargain here and the coupling doesn’t necessarily have to go favorite in this spot.

Taking the Dutrow entry; either/or or both, to win at 5-2 or greater and boxing them in the exacta with the classy Consequence (2-1), coming from the McGaughey barn and exiting a key race.

Running Totals: (668) 210-135-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,463.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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