Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Neon Lights Are Bright on Keeneland Turf

Very interesting feature at Keeneland today, the G3 Pin Oak Valley View Stakes for three year old fillies at a mile and a sixteenth. There are just so many ways to go. But clearly the filly with the most upside for improvement here is Neon Light (5-1).

A Group winner in her native Germany, she never really had a chance in her U. S. debut at Saratoga, trying to rally from far back while wide. Those might be the conditions again today but this course figures to be a lot more to her liking in terms of style.

Going first time for trainer Kairan McLaughlin, the filly’s been training well in NY now ships here for a barn that’s 25 percent effective returning off similar layups, goes second-time Lasix, but first Adjunct (wonder what that stuff is), benefits from the speed types signed on and attracts leading rider Julien Leparoux. All systems go.

Taking Neon Light to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her in the exotics with sharp prospect Fugitive Angel (6-1), worthy favorite No Explaining (4-1) and the speedy Ice Mist (10-1).

Running Totals: (746) 240-156-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only] {Thursday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Patience As a Profitable Virtue

Today’s featured G3 Sycamore for older horses going a mile and a half on turf could as easily be called the Old Geezers. The early favorite, the redoubtable Cloudy’s Knight (5-2) is 10; Brass Hat is 9; Musketier 8; Presious Passion is 7, as is Yate’s Black Cat.

Making his second start off a layup is Cloudy’s Knight and has been pointed toward this by Jonathan Sheppard, looking for a repeat Sycamore score with Rosie Homeister, his regular rider.

But Musketier (5-1) not only offers better value but is a fascinating horse in the way he’s been handled by Roger Attfield, having his best season, maybe ever. A two-time winner at the route, including the G2 Elkhorn here this spring, is coming off a 181-day layup, not unlike the 202 layoff he had prior to the Elkhorn.

Obviously he has his issues but it’s amazing that he would be handled in such a fascinating manner, and clearly the horse and horseman are clearly up to pulling this off. He has some tactical speed and Johnny Velazquez should be able to secure position in a bulky field that boasts a surprising amount of early speed on paper.

Taking Musketier to win at 4-1 or greater and exacta boxes with Cloudy’s Knight and Solitaire (30-1), another specialist pointed to this by Jimmy Bond, a marathon winner second to the classy Spice Route at this distance in Woodbine for a Saratoga based trainer who’s a profitable 25 percent efficient whenever he ships.

[Ed. Note: Cloudy's Knight has been declared and was retired. Staying with Musketier, lowering the win price parameter to 5-2.]

Running Totals: (746) 240-156-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Mining for Gold

Given a forecast for clear skies on Long Island Wednesday we’re looking at the featured overnight Scoot Stakes for fillies and mares on the inner turf at 10 furlongs.

With none of the entrants showing a clear preference for off ground, we’re sticking with the current form and will take any value offered on early third favorite Gold D’oro (4-1).

The late developing four year old has twice won at the trip in front running style over this ground and has drawn the rail in a relatively paceless field while attracting leading rider Ramon Dominguez.

The filly not only has retained her form but a recent sharp breeze on the Belmont training track in preparation for this indicates that more of the same can be expected.

Taking Gold D’oro to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Queen Martha (3-1), going dirt for turf for Patrick Biancone, a profitable 28 percent scenario.

Running Totals: (745) 240-155-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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