Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Max Loves Broadway Producer
The Thursday feature offers a scant field of five, a classified allowances/optional $100,000 claiming going a mile and 70 yards on the winter track. Just because it’s unappealing doesn’t make it easy.
This is a rider’s race and the pace might depend on the break as most of these are capable of being on the pace and still win under the right circumstances. Unfortunately, a man has to do what he must on occasion and eat a little more chalk dust.
I can see how Broadway Producer (6-5) could disappoint. He’s done that before. But I feel that he’s going to peak here, and he’ll have to if he wants to deal with the very sharp Believeinmenow.
While Broadway Producer is not a speed type, he can chase a soft pace, which might come from either Temecular Creek (6-1) or Believeinmenow (9-5).
The Producer coming out of a sprint, the Grade 2 General George at 7 furlongs, as a matter of fact, and did make a tiny bid before finishing one-paced. Today he switches to Ramon Dominguez, whose strength could pay big dividends here, and his half-mile work in :47 4/5, termed breezing, was third fastest of 128 workers at the distance that week.
If not today, when?
Taking Broadway Producer to win, no price restrictions, using him on top of Temecular Creek and Believeinmenow in exactas, plus a boxed exacta with Believeinmenow.
Running Totals: (384) 118-79-52 Total Dollar Return: $822.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
What’s the Name of that Elton John Song?
An entertaining start to the New York racing week with a secondary allowance/optional claiming for fillies and mares 4 & Up going a two-turn mile on the winter track. This route is so competitive that even the post time favorite--unknown to me at this point--will be bettable odds.
The likely pacesetter is breaking from the extreme outside and it would appear that Sunday Geisha (3-1) is up against it under those conditions. It will be up to Rajiv Maragh to leave something in the tank for the finish.
There’s a little of every running style in here, however, and we’re hoping to work out a trip for Jessica Is Back (7-2). One of the fastest here on performance figures, she’s capable of stalking from close range and is drawn in post four of eight, allowing Rosie Napravnik to secure early position as she plays it off the break. She’s coming back on relatively short rest but earned one of her best figures in that scenario previously.
Early favorite Say Toba Sandy (5-2) is extremely sharp, seeking her third straight win after switching barns to the white hot David Duggan. However, picking up weight to shoulder highweight of 123 pounds is compromising. Whoever bettors fancy, they are advised not to take a short price on any entrant here.
Taking Jessica Is Back to win at 3-1 or greater, a trifecta box with Say Toba Sandy and Sunday Geisha, and keying the choice first and second in exactas with the other two.
Running Totals: (383) 118-78-52 Total Dollar Return: $822.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, March 15, 2009
No Chance to Beat Mor Chances
Today’s feature to close the week is the Kim’s Chance for older New York-bred sprinters. If I said I could beat the favorite, I’d be lying.
On anyone’s performance figures, Mor Chances (3-5) holds a commanding edge. Worse, if you want to beat him, is that he has the five post in a five-horse field, won his last on the lead throughout and his prior coming from well off the pace. Trained by Rick Dutrow and re-ridden by Richard Migliore, there is no discernable weakness here.
The only way to benefit is trying to nail the exacta, and value may be available here. Little Wise Guy (8-1) is coming off a New Pace Top and his prior final figure was competitive with the remainder.
Forced to take Mor Chances to win, no price restrictions, an exacta box with Little Wise Guy, extra tickets with the favorite on top.
Running Totals: (382) 117-78-52 Total Dollar Return: $822.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci