Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, November 13, 2008
The Eagle Flies with City Bird
Extremely competitive feature, the listed Meadow Star for sprinting fillies 3 & up going the hybrid distance of 6-½ furlongs. Trips will be important here as many of the top contenders have the same speed/stalking style.
City Bird (5-2) owns a win at this tricky distance and comes back with strong and steady recent works off the six week layup for Rick Dutrow, who excels in this time frame. The filly, nicely drawn outside, owns the best late kick and would benefit from a pace meltdown beneath Edgar Prado. Her best Equiform figures have come at today’s trip.
Miss Blue Tye Dye (10-1) ships in very sharp for Robert Reid with Frankie Pennington, a profitable partner thus far this season, and you can expect Pennington to play this one off the break. The filly has speed when you want the lead and the gas to stay close to any filly that wants it. Four and a half weeks fresh, she has carried today’s 123-pound assignment successfully in the past. She’s not fast, just tough, and an interesting price shot.
Taking City Bird to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Miss Blue Tye Dye, and keying her first and second in trifectas with ‘Tye Dye,’ quick three-year-old Tar Heel Mom (9-5) and distance specialist Are We Dreamin (12-1).
[Running Totals Will be Updated Tomorrow]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
In the Mood for a Blues Cruise?
Today’s feature race, the listed Fairy Garden Stakes for older fillies and mares on the turf at a mile and a sixteenth “for horses that have not a graded stakes over a mile on turf in 2008,” fits plenty of horses in this country but none better than either the ironically named fillies, Blues for Sale (8-1) and Bsharpsonata (2-1).
The reasons why each fits the conditions so snugly is that the former never has run on turf, nor has she even started in a race this year, while the latter has won a Grade 2 on dirt going seven furlongs on a wet track, but never a graded turf event despite a pair of wins at that surface.
Bsharpsonata makes her first start for the Todd Pletcher barn off a lengthy layup. He has entered the filly Main Track Only, and she would be the choice on class lines alone should this race be rescheduled to the main track. She’d be an obvious choice, but not so Rick Dutrow’s filly.
Bred in Argentina, the filly has been training with supreme purpose. With the possible exception of one missed work, the IEAH five-year-old South American has worked every six days dating back to Sept. 1. She kept excellent company in her native land, too, having won a pair of Grade 3s and a G2. In addition to her terrific workline, she attracts turf ace Edgar Prado and is nicely bred on her paternal side for the surface.
Taking Blues for Sale to win at 5-1 or greater and exacta and trifectas key boxes first and second with Chestoria (12-1), who‘s getting some class relief, give in the ground and a switch to Alan Garcia, and Jade Queen (5-2), the solid solid turf-intended Pletcher trainee.
Running Totals: (309) 95-64-39 Total Dollar Return: $650.20 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, November 09, 2008
Here’s Looking at You, Kid
There are six state-bred stakes on today’s card but the two bigger features are the Stallion Series for two-year-olds, and we’ll opt to look at the males in the Broadway Division.
The face features a worthy favorite, Tall Poppi (3-5). He’s never taken a backward step in four lifetime starts and is, by definition, the fast horse in the race on performance figures. He was most recently second in the Bongard and Sleepy Hollow behind the streaking Trinity Magic. But at very short odds, he seems overpriced.
Not so Lookin At Her, at a value laden 8-1. After earning an excellent sprint figure two starts back, he raced rushed off his feet in last, a new lifetime pace top, and is expected to move forward coming back at the same sprint distance. His natural speed will put him in the game early and he could break this open on turn. At anything near early line odds, it’s worth finding out.
Taking Lookin At Her to win at 5-1 or greater and an exacta box with Tall Poppi.
Running Totals: (308) 94-64-39 Total Dollar Return: $628.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci