Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, February 01, 2008

Sorry, Can’t Beat This Favorite

Today’s feature is the Squan Song for fillies and mares going a mile and seventy yards. It has drawn but five betting interests, and a short-priced runner that will be a very tough out.

When last seen, Aliysa (7-5) was a very game second in the Affectionately Handicap, by a much tougher rival than she’s face here. She was pressed hard and just didn’t last in the final strides. She will be in this throughout, especially with Ramon Dominguez taking the re-ride.

Homerette (4-1) has some excellent back performance figures over this surface and her most recent showed a good return to form. She was flying after entering the stretch far behind Aliysa but came charging and was beaten less than two lengths. Pat Kelly had an excellent 2007 and there’s no reason to expect less this year. Jean Luc Samyn rides the filly back.

Taking Aliysa, likely odds-on, with no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Homerette.

Running Totals: (168) 61-36-18. Total Dollar Return: $384.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Thursday, January 31, 2008

Bounce Or No Bounce, That Is The Question

When the winds die down we’ll be back on the track this afternoon with really quick three-year-old fillies in an overnight stakes going six furlongs. There’s an uncoupled favored entry from Gary Contessa headed by Dill Or No Dill (8-5), Rising Glory (6-1) and Carolyn’s Cat 7-2).

Dill Or No Dill will be a very tough out if she can avoid the regression, which may not be possible. Her last was a significant top and she’s coming back a little quickly. But she has extreme early speed, the pole, Ramon Dominguez and has apparently maintained form with two bullet works since she won the Ruthless.

Rising Glory showed marked improvement last out and might have enough recovery time to insure a repeat performance, which could put her in the middle of this at a good price. She’s worked very well at her Philly Park home base, a bullet five-eighths in :59 termed breezing. Stewart Elliott takes the mount for John Servis.

Carolyn’s Cat comes from the white hot McLaughlin shed and Alan Garcia has won his half of his last 10 mounts for this barn. Not only is she making her second start following a brief freshening but is coming off a new pace top, a harbinger of improved performance. She tested the favorite last out but settled for place. Today she figures to be tighter and can narrow the gap considerably. The pressure she puts on Dill Or No Dill is likely to be the key to how this all turns out.

We’ll take the value offered on Carolyn’s Cat at 3-1 or greater and key her in exactas first and second with the contenders listed here.

Running Totals: (167) 60-36-18. Total Dollar Return: $376.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, January 30, 2008

A Horse O.J. Would Hate

Interesting condition to start the NYRA week, a starter allowances for horses that broke their maidens for a claiming price going six furlongs. And it figures to be a battle of a triad of three heavy-hitting outfits.

Gary Contessa saddles the favored 8-5 entry of Golden Tablet and Civil Suit. Golden Tablet draws the live apprentice, Jermaine Bridgmohan, has an inside post and the kind of tactical style that ensures a good trip. The other half of the Winning Move entry is the fastest three-year-old in here, Civil Suit, who goes first time for this outfit, a profitable 21 percent with new acquisitions. Speed and Ramon Dominguez makes him more formidable.

Fast Million (5-2) is also a new acquisition from the highly successful outfit of Richard Englander going first time for Tony Dutrow, a 25 percent proposition. He’s shown a big late kick but that effort was at five furlongs. But since he figures to improve, that makes this a tough call. Alan Garcia won’t hurt his chances.

Ease My Mind (7-2) comes from the crafty Gumpster Stable crew. The colt was a good third over the track following the Tim Hills claim. C.C. Lopez takes the re-ride and should have the multiple winner in a position to win. The dynamics here makes this very much a rider’s race, especially in a short field.

But if Civil Suit runs back to his Florida finale in his first start for Contessa, the battle will be for place. Taking Civil Suit to win, no price restrictions, and exacta key boxes with the remaining major contenders.

Running Totals: (167) 60-36-18. Total Dollar Return: $376.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

Comments (1)


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