Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.
Friday, February 19, 2010
Class on the Grass
You’ll get your money’s worth in today’s feature at Gulfstream Park, a turf marathon going 12 furlongs, and if early line odds hold, there’s value available with the second favorite, Silver Mountain (4-1), who rightfully should be the public choice.
Yes, we understand that Christopher Clement does extraordinary with horses returning from long layups, in fact he’s had a profitable career in that scenario. But aside from a worthy effort going 11 furlongs at Golden Gate last year, we don’t understand all the fuss about Ordination (3-1).
One could argue I suppose that Silver Mountain has a bit of a disappointing profile. But certainly not from a lack of trying and doing so in some salty company. His last in the G2 McKnight at Calder was better than it looks on paper, but need it be? Talking secondary allowances-optional claimers here.
He’s 3-for-5 in the money at this trip with one victory and picks up Jose Lezcano, riding in great form in recent weeks. The five year old has been working purposefully for Tom Proctor, including a recent bullet half mile over the course termed breezing.
Taking Silver Mountain to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in multiples with Adari (6-1), coming off a good figure effort on this course and making its second start for Steve Klesaris, a historically profitable scenario, and Auction Watch (6-1), returning from a layup for Jonathan Sheppard.
Running Totals: (597) 187-120-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, February 18, 2010
Ready, Willing and Abel
Today’s feature in New York is a very competitive state-bred secondary allowances for Bit Apple sprinters.
The logical types are Fiddlers Patriot (3-1), a bounce-rebounded who reacted last out following a career best score. Both those efforts came over today’s surface, which he obviously prefers.
Another logical runner is King David J (4-1), who was very good to us last out and is right back in in three weeks looking to take advantage of his good form.
He loses jockey David Cohen to the Jacobson entry but Linda Rice taps a winter regular, C.C. Lopez, for the assignment, Lopez an ace with speed types, of course.
But we’re going to let price (15-1) and a hot barn rule here, a 4-year-old gelding who’s showing signs of recent development, gets in light at 113 pounds with apprentice Abel Lezcano and still might have a little upside.
While winning his last from in front, he has shown an ability to stalk and finish and he gets a good setup here with an outside draw and contentious speed signed on. We’re going for the gusto.
Taking Wicked Climb to win at 10-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here. Trifecta players can add the Jacobson entry to their mix.
Running Totals: (596) 187-120-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Sorry Bro, to the Victor Belong the Spolis
Today’s feature at Gulfstream Park is a good one, a preliminary allowances for three-year-olds on turf going nine furlongs featuring the second appearance at this meet of Barbaro’s baby brother, Lentenor (5-2).
If his last race means anything, then he’s clearly the most logical winner. This colt finishes explosively and has the kind of long striding daisy cutter action you’d like to see on turf. He finishes strongly, has worked very well, and retains Johnny Velazquez.
But we’re putting our hopes, and our money, on Stately Victor (8-1), an impressive winner of his turf debut at Saratoga last summer showing the kind of late foot symbolic of a successful turf runner.
In his recent three-year-old debut, he raced too close to the early pace in a nine furlong dirt race, not his style, and perhaps not his best surface.
Well, today the blinkers come off, suggesting a return to his preferred late-run style, is back on grass, switches to turf ace Joe Bravo, and hails from a barn that’s a profitable 29 percent efficient with second-off-the-layup starters. His inside post should insure a ground saving journey.
Taking Stately Victor to win at 8-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with Lentenor and Krypton (4-1), who just missed in his tough trip season’s debut and has worked well since, an extra ticket with Lentenor.
Running Totals: (595) 187-120-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci