Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Thursday, September 03, 2009

Can’t Afford To Be Riskaverse

Today’s co-featured Riskaverse for three-year-old fillies going a mile on the inner turf has a little too much of everything which makes it impossible to take a short price. We’re not, and will key on Afternoon Stroll (10-1), who already won a graded stakes (this isn’t) and shoulders high weight of 122 pounds. But she’s earned it.

Reuniting with Jamie Theriot, who rode her to that victory, this filly has the speed to get position close to the pace, tuck in just behind the speed, and kick home. This very much will be a rider’s race and a most difficult call. But her development pattern is good, the price will be square, and she’s turning back to her most effective distance.

Taking Afternoon Stroll to win at 8-1 or greater, and keying her in exactas with Bluegrass Tigress (3-1) and Fast Tigress (6-1).

Running Totals: (495) 148-102-68 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Nothing Fancy, Only a Clean Trip Needed Today

I suppose it’s fitting that the final week of the 2009 Spa meet start with the Lena Spencer, at 5-½ furlongs on the turf for fillies and mares, 3 & up.

If you saw her last race, you probably believe that Smart and Fancy (3-1) should have won. We agree.

Always racing between horses, she was steadied repeatedly through the first three furlongs before Ramon Dominguez could secure room, angling six wide at headstretch and finishing like a wild horse too late, just missing.

From her inside post, there’s always the danger of traffic in a bulky field. We leave it up to Ramon to make amends this time.

Taking Smart and Fancy to win at 5-2 or greater, and exacta box with speedy three-ear-old shipper Trusty Temper (10-1), and using Twiceasbeautiful (20-1), hindered by a slow pace last out and picking up Julien, in the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (494) 148-102-67 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, August 31, 2009

Would Alexandra By Another Name Be As Fleet?

Today’s Saratoga Dew for state-bred fillies and mares at nine furlongs is fairly interesting and presents a good test for handicapping theory. Take horses proven at the distance, or sharp ones with some distance pedigree that could steal the march?

Then, that’s why there are exactas.

Right now, no filly is sharper than the developing four-year-old Afleet Alexandra (6-1). She has no form at the distance but is coming off a soft win in her Spa debut after breaking through in her Finger Lakes prior.

Indeed, she has some bottom-side pedigree for the route and retains Johnny Velazquez, who rode her to that Spa debut score. Further, her running style puts her about five or six lengths off the lead, perhaps closer, providing JR with good position to strike.

We expect her to make the lead at some point. Whether she makes it all the way is why races are run.

Borrowing Base (4-1) has form at the distance--good form and good figures, and over this racetrack. She’s coming off a series off turf routes that should provide excellent conditioning for her return to the Saratoga main track, where she’s 2-for-4 with a second.

Taking Afleet Alexandra to win at 4-1 or greater, an exacta box with Borrowing Base, and using Raffie’s Treasure (12-1) as a price shot possibility in trifecta money slots

Running Totals: (493) 148-102-67 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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