Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, August 01, 2008

Belle of the Ball

Today’s feature will be a good one to see, the Grade 2 Honorable Miss for sprinting fillies and mares going six furlongs. The race is filled with talented fillies with almost any of the six fillies entered capable on their best day. We’ll focus on three, from the rail out; Miss Macy Sue (3-1), Zada Belle (5-2) and Graeme Six (9-2).

There’s one word to describe Miss Macy Sue: sweetheart. What else can you say about a filly who’s 10-for-19 lifetime at today’s distance. She’s won over five different racetracks within the past year and won the close-up stalking style that should fit today’s scenario perfectly. The one concern might be her rail draw.

Zada Belle could be anything. She’s as fast as any of these on performance figures, drops a significant five pounds and draws the meet’s leading rider. She’s only had four lifetime starts in three years of racing, suggesting obvious issues, but she’s won three, all in very fast time. Saeed bin Suroor is 30 percent efficient with shippers and Johnny likely will have her in the sweet spot of this race. Talent is a big equalizer when it comes to assessing class, and we’ll know a lot more after today.

Graeme Six, meanwhile, is about getting what you see. Blessed with tactical speed and an outside post, she likes to stalk from close range, has won recently beneath Julien Leparoux, who’s already won two Grade 1s at the meet. Trainer Tom Amoss is batting 32 percent for the season, the best we’ve seen at a major circuit in 2008 this side of Wayne Catalano.

As contentious as this is, we’ll err on the side of Johnny Velazquez to have her correctly positioned in this closely matched field. Taking Zada Belle to win at 2-1 or greater, keying her first and second in exactas and trifectas with her main rivals here.

Running Totals: (243) 76-50-27. Total Dollar Return: $464.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, July 31, 2008

A Long Position on Market Psychology

Today’s feature is the rescheduled John Morrissey that was canceled after a jockey’s job action on the final day of the Belmont meet. And it still looks like a two-horse race between favorite Ferocious Fires (5-2) and second choice Market Psychology (3-1).

On performance figures, Ferocious Fires has often proven fastest, earning good figures with consistency. Undefeated in two starts at Saratoga, he makes his second start off a lengthy layup for Tony Dutrow, who’s 33 percent efficient when going turf to dirt.

Market Psychology showed improved early speed in his latest, goes well of a brief freshening and has shown he can carry his speed at the hybrid distance. Having drawn outside his major rival gives Shaun Bridgmohan an option to play this one off the break.

Taking Market Psychology to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Ferocious Fires.

Running Totals: (243) 76-50-27. Total Dollar Return: $464.50 [total dollar return]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Talking a Real Treasure in State-Bred Feature

Today’s nominal feature--there are two listed stakes--is for state-bred fillies three year olds and up sprinting seven furlongs in the Fleet Indian. We’re looking for a minor upset.

Ice Kool Kitty (2-1) is a logical favorite. Overmatched in an open class grade 2, she returns to state-bred company, over a surface on which she’s 1-for-1 and at a productive distance in which he’s won two of five at seven eighths. Consistently fastest, she goes well for Edgar Prado and Rick Dutrow is 3-for-10 at the young meet with three seconds.

Second choice Talking Treasure (5-2) is more interesting. Nicely drawn outside at this distance in a relatively small field, four year old Catienus filly showed improved early speed last time out. Charlton Baker filly also loves seven-eighths (3-for-4) and is undefeated in her lone Spa start. Leading rider Johnny Velazquez should control things from the outside and owns multiple wins aboard the filly.

Taking Talking Treasure to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Ice Kool Kitty.

Running Totals: (242) 75-50-27. Total Dollar Return: $459.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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