Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, January 06, 2011

They’ll Never See Him Coming

Today’s Gulfstream feature is for newly turned three year old going a flat mile at the preliminary allowance level. What a nice group it is, and some might someday by racing in events with names on them.

It will be hard to ignore the early line choices here. Black N Beauty (5-2) is very good now and consistently fast but he’s stretching out while breaking from the pole. That might work out perfectly, might not. No need to find out as the favorite.

Frankly, post odds will have a strong effect on whether I back El Grayling (4-1) or Shadow Warrior (5-1). I know I’ll probably regret this, but I’ll go on record with the latter.

El Grayling was an excellent second despite a troubled start in his Churchill finale under identical conditions behind Brethren, a highly regarded Todd sophomore. He’ll be well supported, as Mike Maker has gotten off to a good start.

But Shadow Warrior has done virtually nothing wrong. Despite a very tough trip from a wide post in his Poly debut at Keeneland, he moved to the real stuff under these conditions at Churchill and looked like the real deal, drawing away late after showing much improved early lick.

He’s by A.P. Indy out of Victory Ride; enough said.

Taking Shadow Warrior to win at 3-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (787) 254-163-107 Total Dollar Return: $1,763.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, January 05, 2011

Tagg Entrant Well Named in GP Feature

There aren’t many things in my book better than a one-turn mile, the conditions of today’s secondary allowances-optional claiming feature for older horses. And are there many horses coming up to this much better, or sharper, than Groomedforvictory.

To call him a specialist would understand the case. He’s 5-for-9 going a mile and is 1-for-life doing anything else. Six year old gelding is super sharp, training very well, owns tactical speed, kick and a favorable outside draw and has finished in-the-money in three career starts over this strip, including a victory. Javier Castellano takes the call from Barclay Tagg.

Taking Groomedforvictory to win at 7-2 or greater, keying him first and second in exactas with Poni Colada (3-1) and Apriority (5-1). Exotic fans can add price shot Santana Six (12-1) to their mix.

Running Totals: (786) 254-162-107 Total Dollar Return: $1,763.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Gulfstream Sprints from the Gate

Today’s Gulfstream Park opener is the Old Hat Stakes, a Grade 3 sprint for newly turned sophomore fillies at six furlongs.

There’s one undefeated filly in the group and two that are nearly undefeated, with Final Mesa and Quantum Miss (2-1) with one loss on the cards, along with several other multiple winners. It’s a good group. We’re taking one of the near undefeated ladies.

Final Mesa (7-2) is making hr first start since last summer. Since this is Wesley Ward we’re taking about, and since she’s been training here since late November, and since Joel Rosario is here from California to ride, she appears fairly live in this spot, no?

This gal may not be as fast on performance figures as some of her rivals, notable Quantum Miss, but she is 1-for-1 on dirt, winning Delaware’s Polly Drummond before apparently exiting the G3 Sorrento with an issue that’s kept her on the sidelines since. She has the right to catch up on the figure scale here.

Taking Final Mesa to win at 5-2 or greater and keying her in the multiples with Quantum Miss and undefeated Roxy Gap

Running Totals: (785) 253-162-107 Total Dollar Return: $1,755.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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