Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Sunday, March 02, 2008
Will Wishng Make It So?
Today’s feature is the Broadway Handicap for older New York-bred fillies going six furlongs. It has drawn a field of six, a worthy favorite, Karakorum Starlet (9-5) and a very sharp rival, Wishing Wishes (3-1), an uncoupled member of a Tony Dutrow-trained duo.
Karakorum Starlet is a deserving highweight under 120 pounds, most of that Stewart Elliot. She is by definition the fastest filly and can be forgiven her latest when pitched vs. much tougher going seven furlongs in the Grade 2 Barbara Fritchie at Laurel. Here she turns back to her optimal distance and back to the surface over which she won the state-bred Ruby Rubles in a previous start. She figures to get a nice trip from the rail with her tactical speed.
But Wishing Wishes is a perfect 3-for-3 since coming under Dutrow’s care. Her figures have improved consistently and she was wisely given a five-week freshening since earning a career best figure on Jan. 25. What’s most impressive is the her early lick has improved significantly, which will put her in position to upset this group with a mid-race mover that’s been effective in recent starts. She gets five pounds from the favorite here.
Taking whatever value is available on Wishing Wishes, betting her to win at 5-2 or greater and keying her in exacta boxes with Karakorum Starlet and Scatkey (6-1), returning fresh for trainer Pat Kelly and owning the best late kick on her best effort.
Running Totals: (184) 64-39-21. Total Dollar Return: $401.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, March 01, 2008
Daaher’s Derailment Only Temporary?
Today’s NYRA feature actually has some history, the storied Stymie Handicap for three-year-olds and older going 9 furlongs. And we’re we surprised to see Daaher (2-5) in the entries!
Winner of the Grade 1 Cigar Mile last year, among other high profile events, Daaher was a rank disappointment in the G1 Donn, his season’s debut. This spot is a whole lot easier.
But which Daaher shows up, the one from the Cigar Mile or the one from the Donn. Do we really want to find out at 2-5?
Temporary Saint (6-1) is interesting. Claimed by the powerful Maggi Moss barn for $50,000, he was shipped to New York, given to trainer Bruce Levine, and responded with an open lengths, up-in-class, good-figure score. His stalking style should put him in hailing distance of the favorite throughout. Depending on which Daaher shows up will determine if that’s a good position or not. If it’s the Daaher from the Donn, this would be a good thing for Temporary Saint. Dropping seven pounds after toting 120 last out is another benefit.
The lone remaining plausible contender is the redoubtable 10-year-old Evening Attire, who won this race last year. Today’s added distance helps this old guy and if the pace is suicidal and Daaher’s not his old self, Pat Kelly’s veteran could get it done. Admittedly, that’s a lot of if’s.
Taking Temporary Saint to win at early line odds, and keying him first and second in exactas with his main contenders here.
Running Totals: (183) 64-38-21. Total Dollar Return: $401.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Friday, February 29, 2008
Jacks Express a Fast Track to Profit
Not a very exciting feature today, a secondary state-bred allowances optional $25,000 claiming for older horse going a two-turn mile. Three have the best chance, from the inside, out: Stopbluffing (7-2), Fahrenheit Wild (2-1) and Jacks Express (5-2).
Stopbluffing has the benefit of earning good, competitive figures with consistency. All this while suffering through wide and tough trips in two recent starts but now moves inside and Julio Espinoza will take the re-ride. In addition to good figures, a preference for the track and the distance augur well. Two of his three lifetime wins have comes at this distance or on this surface.
Fahrenheit Wild is stretching out to a winning distance over the track in his second start following a layup, a race he should have won. He was forced to check in the midst of a strong stretch rally, costing him any chance, and Rajiv Maragh will attempt to make amends on the re-ride for this live outfit.
Jacks Express sports a bounce-rebound pattern, having earned a lifetime best figure two starts back. He had to be claimed only five days ago with this spot in mind and the meet’s leading trainer Gary Contessa is 20 percent profitable in first start off a claim and also earns money for his backers when wheeling back his charges off short rest. He has tactical speed, can kick, and benefits from a favorable rider switch to hot riding Mike Luzzi.
Taking Jacks Express to win at 2-1 or more and exacta and trifecta key boxes first and second with his major contenders.
Running Totals: (182) 63-38-21. Total Dollar Return: $396.60 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci