Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, March 06, 2010

Waters Not Too Deep for Kettle River

Today’s sub-feature--but significant Kentucky Derby prep--on the Santa Anita Handicap card is the Grade 3 Sham for three year olds at nine furlongs.

After taking a second look following the re-draw of last week’s canceled stakes, the conclusion is basically the same; that Kettle River will be hell to pay here.

Since debuting in a Saratoga sprint last summer, he’s found a home out West, breaking his maiden on Hollywood turf then transferring that good form onto Santa Anita’s Pro Ride.

What was interesting about that allowance score is that he seemed to move a tad prematurely yet still showed the class and determination to hang on for the win in his surface debut.

Subsequently, he’s returned to work strongly and boasts a pedigree that will welcome today’s added sixteenth of a mile. Before we start knocking Brice Blanc, who’s riding at 5 percent for the meet, consider he’s 2-for-2 on the Eoin Harty colt and his presence insures fair odds.

Taking Kettle River to win and place at 6-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (607) 189-124-84 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Friday, March 05, 2010

Race Over Course Favors Mahindar

I’m willing to gamble that in today’s allowance feature at Tampa Bay Downs, featuring three-year-old fillies sprinting 6-½ furlongs, the linemaker has made the wrong favorite. At least I hope so.

Actually, Island Time (8-5) can’t be ignored. Certainly not off a top figure score at Gulfstream Park, attracting leading rider Centeno, and hailing from an outfit, Jason Servis, that’s 2-for-4 shipping in this meet.

Instead, we’ll err in favor of winning races over the track, an added sixteenth of a mile that could help her and compromise the favorite, the presence of Rosemary Homeister Jr. and the sharp recent work indicating that Mahindar (2-1) could not be in better form.

Taking Mahindar to win at 2-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Island Time.

Running Totals: (607) 189-124-84 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, March 04, 2010

….He’ll Be Gone, Gone, Gone…

Today’s eighth race turf feature at Tampa Bay Downs is highly competitive mile with an excellent chance of securing value.

The favorites will be tough on their company lines. Robscarvic (5-2) , shipping in from Santa Anita of all places, has excellent performance figures is nicely drawn inside and, most significantly, goes first time for Wayne Catalano, a 36 percent proposition.

Sol A Pino (3-1), meanwhile, ships in for Billy Mott and returns to claiming company. The first year old gelding also has excellent figures and makes his first start for a barn that’s a profitable 24 percent returning from long layups. Rosemary Homeister Jr. takes the mount.

But the value here is clearly Native Yell (6-1), a winner at this distance two back for the white hot O’Connell barn, reunites with leading rider Daniel Centeno and comes off a Turf Decline Line, often the harbinger of an improved grass performance.

Taking Native Yell to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here. Trifecta players can add the speedy Heros Image (6-1) to the mix.

Running Totals: (606) 189-124-83 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only

Written by John Pricci


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