Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Beware the Traps in Short-Field Feature

Given the size of the field, we thought today’s Belmont Park feature is more reminiscent of the Left Coast than the other one. It’s a five horse secondary allowances that’s by definition very trappy.

The fastest filly on performance figures in favorite Flying Dixie (2-1) but the tactical advantage seems to go to Halo Hollie (7-2).

There’s just not a lot of speed in this lineup and every one of the five riders know it, making it a rider’s race. That doesn’t give handicappers a lot of options.

A tactical advantage is significant here, so is Halo Hollie’s outside draw in a small field and the presence of pace conscious Richard Migliore in the boot. Add the fact that trainer Kiaran McLaughlin is a profitable 23 percent in both the stretchout and second-off-the-layup categories.

This would be an easy play if not for the fact that Johnny Velazquez, one of the game’s absolute best race riders, is on the fastest horse.

However, we must take Halo Hollie at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Flying Dixie.

Running Totals: (426) 128-87-57 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, May 17, 2009

You Come Back East, Girl

As you look at the feature at Belmont Park, the Mount Vernon for state-bred fillies and mares 3 & up, you know one thing: You Go West Girl (4-1) will be quite happy to get home. Sort of.

Actually, she doesn’t really live in New York, but she was bred here and will be happy to get back into the restricted competition, even if the very talented Lost My Choo (2-1) will be in the starting gate as well.

Both fillies will be happy to be back in New York. The favorite found the G2 Jenny Wiley field at Keeneland a little too salty last out, after impressing favorably in taking the G3 Honey Fox at Gulfstream Park in her season’s debut, earning the top recent figure in the group. She’s reuniting with Jose Lezcano, who was aboard in the Honey Fox.

But she does lose regular rider Edgar Prado to, well, You Go West Girl. Prado rode her to victory in a state-bred stakes over the course last year and takes the ride for Tom Proctor, who’s profitable lifetime with horses making their third start off a layup.

Taking You Go West Girl to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with I Lost My Choo.

Running Totals: (425) 128-87-56 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only] (Saturday's results not included)

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, May 16, 2009

Super Filly a Bad Bet

For a look at what your Preakness exotic ticket might look like, see Pricci Morning Line on HRI lead page.

Running Totals: (424) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only] (Friday's results not included)

Written by John Pricci


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