Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, July 06, 2014

Babies R Us

Today's feature at Belmont is a state-bred stakes for 2YO fillies, the Lynbook. Half the 6-horse field is comprised of first time starters and our stats say that this will come down to one of two firsters.

Wonder Gal is the early line favorite despite her inexperience, but the workline is there and Leah Gyarmati, who is becoming a serious player on the circuit, is a profitable 24% with her babies. But the thinking is that her outside post works against the newcomer in this spot.

Jessica's Ride (3-1), meanwhile is working brilliantly at her Fair Hill base, is also bred to win early, like the favorite, and in James Lawrence has a teacher that's profitable in a;l relevant categories.

Taking Jessica's Ride to win at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing with the favorite and price shot Accelerbrate (15-1), who came from well off the pace to miss by a nose in her debut at goes first-Lasix today.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1563

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 476-300-241

Amount Wagered: $3,126 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,218.00

Profit to Date: $92.00

Written by John Pricci

Comments (4)


Saturday, July 05, 2014

A Stars and Stripes Two-Fer

Apologies for delay and truncated analysis; away from home for holiday but did to the work. So, two selections today, in the newly created Belmont Oaks and Derby.

In the Oaks, taking classy Xcelence (5-2) to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Dermot (Belmont Stakes) Weld's Flying Jib.

In the Derby, taking win machine Gailo Chop (5-1) to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with the accomplished Toast of New York (3-1).

We'll catch up with the stats Sunday morning. Continued Happy Stars and Stripes Weekend to all!

Written by John Pricci

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Friday, July 04, 2014

Potential Value in Belmont Feature

Two features on Belmont's holiday weekend card and the one with the larger purse, the Forbidden Apple Stakes for older turf runners going a mile present an opportunity to beat the probable favorite, especially since some expected less than firm conditions does not play to the classy Za Approval's strengths.

We saw a win machine at Belmont yesterday and, to a lesser extent, we have one today in Kharafa, at least on Belmont turf where the gelded 5YO has won half of his 10 starts with three more exacta finishes. He's just so genuine with his stalk and pounce style, he's nicely drawn toward the outside, Castellano takes the re-ride and Tim Hills has won half his four starts shipping over from his Monmouth base.

Taking Kharafa to win 5-2 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with the late developing, improved-for-Mott Bio Pro.

,Number of Selections since 2007: 1560

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 476-299-241

Amount Wagered: $3,120 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,218.00

Profit to Date: $98.00

Written by John Pricci

Comments (3)


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