Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, June 19, 2015

Map Points the Way to Belmont Circle

Today's feature race is a dandy. Unfortunately, it's another short field, filled by the usual suspects, in familiar roles that are likely to take down the major prize once again. And that's Liam's Map (6-5), a member of the Todd/Javier team this afternoon.

Sure he's coming off a layup which is a red flag but counting on Todd to make a lot of mistakes is not a winning strategy. Agreed, neither is taking a short price in scenarios such as these. But this picture includes the fact that while he has earned figures that should set him back a while--and have recently--the recovery time is there.

Further, he is the controlling speed from an outside position and while extremely fast hasn't over-developed to the point where you can assume the rise is over. He's never taken a backward step in four lifetime starts.

Taking Liam's Map to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with the equally fresh North Slope (8-1).

Written by John Pricci

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Thursday, June 18, 2015

Double Down Just One More Time

Damn, there sure are some fast horses in today's feature from Belmont, an N3X for older going six furlongs. The two favorites have the most talent but obviously have their issues; Bakken (7-5) only shows up from time to time and Catron (2-1) is coming off a 414-day layup.

We're not willing to take a short price in today's 7-horse match-up.

Instead, we're throwing a little deeper with Doubledown Again (6-1) whose style fits the speedy race shape, hails from the barn of Michelle Nevin, who's shed is heating up again, and has recency in his corner, an attribute that many of today's runners lack. Gelded Rockport Harbor 5YO gets along very well with Jose Ortiz, who takes the return call here.

Taking Doubledown Again to win at 4-1 or greater, key-boxing exactas with the favorites, and adding price shot Scarly Charly (10-1) to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1764

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 530-336

Amount Wagered: $3,528 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,631.70

Profit to Date: $103.50

Written by John Pricci

Comments (3)


Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Getting Down on the Longer Brown

Today's Belmont Park feature unfortunately will be a five-horse field after the Main Track Only horses, of which there are four out of nine, are withdrawn and as far as we're concerned Chad Brown has only himself to beat.

The logical favorite of the two is the overnight choice, Hellenistic (8-5). Entered in a N3X here, she is getting class relief and Castellano for her return to allowance company. But we're going to take her uncoupled mate, Water Hole (7-2).

While the favorite's past performances are more compelling, she is more likely to be using today's event as a bridge race, whereas Water Hole, making her second U.S. start after being out-posted in a G2 at Churchill, looks like she will be more suited to today's trip and lack of early speed signed on.

Just not willing to accept a short price in this trappy-looking turf route. Taking Water Hole to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with her mate.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1763

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 530-336

Amount Wagered: $3,526 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,631.70

Profit to Date: $105.50

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)


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