Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Friday, May 05, 2017


Tasman Willing and Abel


There certainly is no shortage of talent or speed in today’s renewal of the storied Oaks. With the weather forecasts being dubious, we will heed the strong leans that a wet track is possible. And the top contenders are either proven over it or bred for it.

If this were an ordinary filly race on Thursday, screams of “bounce” would be heard from Maine to Spain, and not without justification.

Yes, we are talking three-year-olds in the spring, when anything could and often does happen. However, we’re also talking young fillies who, with me, are more reliable than males on form, but not necessarily when the shipping factor is considered.

Resultantly, we’re against the favorite, the extremely gifted Paradise Woods (5-2) and also the remarkably fast win machine, Miss Sky Warrior (9-2). Given those two, we prefer the latter.

But given the speedy dynamics, her style, suitable pedigree for both nine furlongs and wet, and class, Abel Tasman (5-1), making her second start for Bob Baffert, Mike Smith and fully cranked for this, she appeals as the most likely winner.

We believe her main rival will be Farrell (5-1), a win-machine dominatrix who is nicely posted outside the favorite for her preferred stalking style; she loves Churchill Downs, handles the wet, and still owns a forward upside.

And she just might be close to her fair morning line quote.

We’re taking Abel Tasman to win at 3-1 or greater, exacta key-boxes with Farrell and a clearly-pointed Lockdown (20-1) [double up with Farrell], and adding the aforementioned Miss Sky Warrior and underappreciated, forward-looking Vexatious (20-1) to the exotics mix.

******

Number of Selections since 2007: 2289

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 691-451

Amount Wagered: $4,578 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,692.70

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .498%

Profit to Date:
$114.70

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, May 03, 2017


Get Ready for Possible Oaks-Derby Double Action


HRI's Feature Race Analysis Returns Friday with a Look at the storied Kentucky Oaks

Also, preparing three Pick 4 Reports for Churchill Downs on Derby Day. Check out http://www.JohnPricci.com beginning Thursday for more information


Number of Selections since 2007: 2289

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 691-451

Amount Wagered: $4,578 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,692.70

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .498%

Profit to Date:
$114.70

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Saturday, April 29, 2017


Elusive Recent Form in Belmont Turf Feature


The Saturday feature at Belmont, the Elusive Quality, is for turf sprinters going 7 furlongs on the Widener course. What makes this one interesting, and difficult, is that the three best horses on paper are all making their season's debut.

Of those we're taking Calgary Cat (5-2) and if you remember his effort in the BC Turf Sprint, you can understand why. Never close at any stage, he launched into contention wide on the far turn, even wider into the lane, and flew home, catching all but three, beaten less that three for it all.

This might be just a starting point for the year but he's been training steady for more than two months, including a recent WO bullet.

Taking Calgary Cat to win at early line odds or greater, an exacta box with Disco Partner (2-1), first-time for Chris Clement, and Siding Spring (4-1), getting a switch to Johnny.

*****

Number of Selections since 2007: 2288

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 691-451

Amount Wagered: $4,576 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,692.70

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .498%

Profit to Date:
$116.70

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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