Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Thursday, October 16, 2014


In Todd We Trust


Today's Keeneland feature is the Grade 3 Sycamore for older turf runners at the marathon distance of 1-1/2 miles. An interesting--and difficult--race, as most open turf marathons tend to be.

I'm not sure why but it wasn't until I looked at the PPs for today that I noticed Todd Pletcher was 6-for-13 at this meet through this past weekend. I'm not sure I cashed on any of them.

But I'm going to the funeral anyway and going on record with Red Rifle (4-1), the longer half of Pletcher's uncoupled entry. With Johnny in the boot--his success has not eluded me at the windows--this 4YO's tactical speed figures to be put to proper use, and he can finish going this far, a winning prop to be sure.

Taking Red Rifle to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing exactas with mate Unitarian (3-1), marathon specialist Tricky Hat (5-1), and adding Villandry (6-1) to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1627

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 494-316-251

Amount Wagered: $3,254 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,384.80

Profit to Date: $130.80

Written by John Pricci

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Monday, October 13, 2014


Katie’s Garden Bears Fruit


Interesting holiday feature at Belmont today, the restricted Punkin Pie for fillies and mares sprinting 7 furlongs--and that's the key here: the trip.

After finishing second to the talented Toasting going a mile in her latest, Katie's Garden (2-1) is returning to her winning distance, one at which she earned her career best Energy Rating. Johnny V., aboard for the third consecutive ride, takes the reins for John Shirreffs, who's shown a typically patient hand with this late-developing Moss homebred.

Taking Katie's Garden to win, no price restrictions, and key-boxing exactas with interesting Japanese invader Unbound (3-), making her U.S. debut for Graham Motion (29% this scenario) and Wildcat Lily (6-1), sure to improve in second start following a layoff.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1627

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 494-316-251

Amount Wagered: $3,254 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,384.80

Profit to Date: $130.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (7)


 
 

Sunday, October 12, 2014


Passion for Prices


Back to bluegrass country for today's feature, a secondary allowances on the turf for fillies and mares going 1-1/16 miles on the Keeneland turf, one that offers an opportunity for value.

Horses that will take money are the Ramsey entry (5-2), headed by class-tested Emotional Kitten, and graded stakes victress Honey Hues, who looks like the controlling speed.

But we're taking a mare that can handle a solid pace and can finish, and who is more patient at waiting and making the last turf run than Leparoux, who is enjoying a solid meet thus far.

Northern Passion (8-1) was even making up ground in her lone start on this course vs. Somali Lemonade--no such rival here-and that was after entering the stretch 8 wide.

Today the 5YO mare is stretching out off two sprints, a profitable 21% angle for the Casse barn, and her state-bred wins in Canada do not count against her vs. today's rivals.

Taking Northern Passion to win at 9-2 or greater and key box her first and second in exotics with her two rivals above and will add the well connected Malibu Yankee (6-1) to the exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1625

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 493-316-251

Amount Wagered: $3,250 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,376.90

Profit to Date: $126.90

Written by John Pricci

Comments (1)


 
 

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