Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Sunday, January 18, 2015


It’s As Easy as 123BET


HRI has entered into a promotional relationship with 123.gaming.com in which each Sunday we analyze the six races that comprise their unique Pick 6 contest wager. The current featured track is Parx Racing. The following is a profile of races 4 through 9.

The bet is different from the traditional Pick 6 in that a player gets points for first, second, and third-place finishes (based on pari-mutuel payoffs) by his or her selections in each of the six races.

For example, if a player’s horse finished second, paying $4.00 to place and $3.00 to show, the player would receive 7 points toward his or her total. The player with the highest number of points accumulated during the sequence is declared the winner, collecting 60% of the net pool. The second and third highest-scoring players also get a share — 30% for second and 10% for third.

Sign up to play the wager at 123bet.com, make your selections, and follow the live national leaderboards after each race! And if you complete the Top 10, you get your $2 back.

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FOURTH: 9-ISLAND SUNSET (6-1) Trainer Jacobson profitable 25% in LAY-2 scenarios and ships in from NY to meet non-winners in the last year; properly spotted, Pennington named. 6-BROAD RULE (5-2) popular at the claim box, has earned consistently good Energy Ratings over sustained period; Preciado is 28% first time off the claim. 1/1A-Pino Entry (7-2) Undrgroundregulatr always fires best shot and Major Highway worked brilliantly for this.

FIFTH: 2-HARLINGTON ROMANCE (4-1) loves this surface and trip and was claimed into barn that 24% effective with new acquisitions. 1-Dreaming Is Free (3-1) fits race shape and is well drawn inside. 4-Rhinestone Diva (9-2) romped in Tampa sprint now tries route with Carmouche. 6-Wedding Trifecta (5-2) bounce-rebounder qualified for this two back.

SIXTH: 1-JACKSON P. (5-2) set strong pace and held very gamely in rapidly run debut; should shake loose given added distance. 10-Roxbury and Overton (8-1) does done little wrong and enters this off New Pace Top. 11-Maxwell’s Hammer (8-1) never has taken a backward step on the Energy Ratings scale.

SEVENTH: 2-KISS ME FOREVER (5-2) made mid-race move and held very well now turns back to more suitable sprint distance. 1-Que Regalo (7-2) distributed his energy in improved fashion last out. 3-Amblin Easy (10-1) enters this off New Pace Top. 8-Miticketcecilia (20-1) worked fast for this and 3-for-5 on this surface.

EIGHTH: 5-FAR KAT (7-2) enters this off delayed Pace Top going turf to dirt for barn effective in that scenario; lifetime best Energy Rating at this trip three back. 1-SHOPLIFT (5-2) seldom fails to fire and is suited by speed race shape and inside draw. 6-Pixie Dust (5-1) earned excellent figure score this trip and attracts Ritvo. 7-Burn Control (4-1) drops into allowances off Laurel Stakes and reunites with Carmouche.

NINTH: 1A/1 STONY BROOK STABLES entry (4-1) PELEKAS BEACH drops into maiden claimer for first time, adds blinkers and bred for added ground; mate Nile Seeker goes first time off the Nations claim (profitable 33%). 8-RELENTLESS RIDE (7-2) has improved and is marching forward since switched to dirt and just missed with similar in NY. 2x-Danny Ocean (12-1) has improved in two starts for Reid and looms interesting if in from the also-eligibles.

SUGGESTED 123 Pick 6 PLAY: 6.9 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 1.5 with 1/1A.8---$16

BEST UPSET POTENTIAL:

Race 6: 10-Roxbury and Overton (8-1)

Race 7: 3-Amblin Easy (10-1) 8-Miticketcecilia (20-1)

Race 8: 6-Pixie Dust (5-1)

Race 9: 2X-Danny Ocean (12-1)

Running Totals for Upset Plays Dec. 28, 2014-Jan. 11, 2015:

Record: (9) 2-1-0

Amount Wagered: $18

Total Return on Investment: $44.80

For the traditional HRI Feature Race Analysis, taking Fat Kat (5-1) to win today's 8th race at 3-1 or greater, and boxing the exacta with Shoplift.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1677

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-325

Amount Wagered:$3,354 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $114.80


Written by John Pricci

Comments (4)


 
 

Saturday, January 17, 2015


Wildcat Cat: The Ultimate Horse for Course


If it weren't for a wee bit of hesitation that Wildcat Red (2-1) might not have made the transition from three to four, we'd be screaming his name from Plantation to Hallandale Beach.

But given the chance the crowd might be tempted to over-bet Transparent (9-5) from the hot McLaughlin barn, we're taking the fast, game colt to improve on his worthy Gulfstream Park record of (8) 5-3-0 getting Joel Rosario for the first time.

Taking Wildcat Red to win at 8-5 or greater, an exacta box with SoFla rival East Hall (5-2) and adding sharp distance lover Catholic Cowboy (6-1) and Transparent to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1675

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-325

Amount Wagered:$3,350 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $118.80 {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

Friday, January 16, 2015


Gambling on Fitness


Today's Gulfstream Park feature is a tough one, an extremely competitive NW3/optional for older horses going 1-1/16 miles on turf. Whoever you choose, no short price is in order.

On our Energy Ratings, course-love Mr. Online and Excaper, recently second to very talented Mshawish hold a wide edge in this limit field. However, both do their best running on or near the lead and have drawn wide posts.

Instead, we're reaching out for the back-classy Java's War (12-1) which hasn't started since the Pennsylvania Derby, the 2013 Pa Derby. The 5YO has won fresh in his career--although not a specialty--hails from a new barn that does, Roger Attfield's (17% off long layups).

This runner has a big late engine, one he used successfully to win the G1 Poly Blue Grass, but is 2-for-3 on turf--1-for-7 on anything else. He'll need some luck given the big field but Javier Castellano is an ace on this turf course and is likely to give this rallier his best chance to upset.

Taking Java's War to win at 8-1 or greater, key boxing exactas with his speedy rivals, and will go for the gusto by adding price shots Joelito, Sky Blazer and Riding the River to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1675

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-325

Amount Wagered:$3,350 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $118.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (4)


 
 

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