Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Thursday, June 06, 2013

Dawg Gone It

Today's Belmont Park feature is a secondary allowance-optional claimer for older New York-breds sprinting six furlongs. Even with six entrants, the race is more interesting that it might appear at first blush.

Half the field can win to our count: the returning Jeter (7-5), making his first start as a 4-year-old and for a new barn, Kelly Breen's; Driven by Solar (5-2), likely to get his preferred dry track for Jamie Ness, batting 33% second time off the claim, and Marsh Dawg (5-1), very impressive winning last out at Finger Lakes for Chris Englehardt, returning from a year's absence to do it. So then why won't he regress here?

He could, obviously, but we're banking on a trainer who's shipping into Gotham, hiking the 7-year-old gelding up from the $10,000 claiming level and, most significantly, is 29% efficient with repeaters and 26% second time off the layup. The presence of Castellano is another plus, as are the early line odds.

Taking Marsh Dawg to win at 4-1 or greater and key-boxing him in multiples with his two rivals here.

Number of Selections: 1330

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 406-252-203

Amount Wagered: $2,660 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,789.20

Profit to Date: $129.20

Written by John Pricci


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