Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, June 21, 2013

Making a “Profet” in the Feature

Today's featured fifth race at Belmont is not very interesting and neither has it drawn a representative field as six fillies and mares eligible for preliminary allowances or in for a claiming price of $25,000 will respond to the bell--and sure enough it comes down to a three-quarter of a million dollar Mott trainee and a David Jacobson claim from her last start.

The claimer, Thisizsparta (3-1), has an edge at the one mile trip and with a victory over the surface; she's dropping from $35,000 claim level to $25,000 but it makes sense considering the purse is worth $77,000. And while switching to Castellano, know that Jacobson is profitable first off the claim and going turf to dirt.

But the well bred Profetiza (9-5) would have won both lifetime starts if she had anything resembling a clean start in her debut. She nearly overcame a poor break in her debut and was narrowly beaten after opening out the lead prematurely. This time around, Jose Lezcano will be prepared for anything at the break. Further, she appears to be the controlling speed in the small field.

Taking Profetiza to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Thisizsparta.

Number of Selections: 1338

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 409-252-206

Amount Wagered: $2,676 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,808.30

Profit to Date: $132.30

Written by John Pricci


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