Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Need Value in Highly Contentious Belmont Feature
Today's Belmont turf feature, an NX3-optional claimer at one mile is a skull-buster filled with classy hard hitters. We're looking for value and hoping to trip-out here, given the speedy dynamics. Both Lochte (3-1) and Plainview (4-1) are logical choices, each showing class going today's trip. However, a contested pace and position could prove obstacles at a short price.
We find Fredericksburg (6-1) very interesting. Working well for Michael Matz at his Fair Hill base, 4YO owns tactical speed, kick and an inside draw, and Alex Solis is excellent working out trips, especially with this type of runner. Value seems assured in a very contentious heat.
Taking Fredericksburg to win at early line odds or greater, an exacta box with class dropping LAY-3 proposition Upgrade (6-1), adding both favorites and price shot Red Rifle (10-1)--showed promise in lone turf start over course at 3--to the super-exotics mix.
Number of Selections since 2007: 1563
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 476-300-241
Amount Wagered: $3,126 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,218.00
Profit to Date: $92.00