Sunday, July 22, 2012
Identifying the Sanford Winner
Today’s Grade 2 Sanford going in is at least as difficult as the opening day Schuylerville; a representative field in which almost all the runners have some kind of chance; some better than others, of course.
What the race doesn’t lack is speed, and it’s interspersed from one end of the starting gate to the other. The trick is finding the horse with an edge in this kind of matchup of young horses with varying experience.
We believe that edge goes to Bern Identity (4-1). That’s because on Equiform performance figures, his 2 furlong number gives him a fairly significant edge.
Whether he’s good enough remains to be seen; but what is known is that he figures to be the speed of the speed with an alert beginning.
His double-digit maiden score was as impressive as it was fast and he’s come back to work four times since, including a very sharp blowout, the fastest work among his peer group that week—and it came over the Saratoga main track
We’re taking Bern Identity to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing him first and second in multiples with two top figure runners in this heat; the very well regarded Rose Junction (5-2) and the much improved Handsome Jack (9-2).
Running Totals: (1120) 343-218-168 Total Dollar Return: $2,363.00 [win selections only]