Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Nothing Like a Day at the Beach

The great thing about the Saratoga race meet, of course, is the fact that today’s feature race is a Grade 2 stakes for 3-year-old fillies on the turf.

Not bad for a Wednesday.

In any event, the Lake George is loaded and while the two early line favorites easily are the most probable winners, it’s far from a two-horse race vis a vis wagering.

The two favorites, obviously, are Stephanie’s Kitten (5-2) and Samitar (3-1). Stephanie’s Kitten is developing beautifully with figures that are marching forward incrementally. But for “class on the grass” fans, she’s got that, too, as the winner of the G1 Alcibiades and the G2 Breeders’ Juvenile Fillies Turf.

And it certainly would be appropriate if last year’s leading Saratoga rider and upcoming Hall of Fame inductee were to win it. His next loss aboard this Catalano-trained filly will be his first in four rides.

But the wildcard in her is Samitar, yet another Martin Schwartz high-priced European purchase. She is a Group 1 winner in Europe and, as such, might have this field at her mercy—and that includes the accomplished Stephanie’s Kitten.

To make matters worse for the early line choice, Samitar attracts Ramon Dominguez, who appeared to be on a mission even before Sunday’s six-pack of winners.

Still, we’ll take Stephanie’s Kitten to win at early line odds or greater, an exacta box with Samitar, and will use the sharp improving Centre Court (4-1), G2 winning Better Lucky (8-1), Dancing Solo (10-1), seeking her third straight with Bravo shipping up to ride, and Medolina, 3-for-3 lifetime with Castellano—the last two fillies being Todd Pletcher trainees.

Running Totals: (1122) 345-218-168 Total Dollar Return: $2,373.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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