Saturday, November 16, 2013
Everybody Just Calm Down
The Big A feature is the Grade 3 Red Smith Handicap for 3YO and up going 11 furlongs on the turf and we cannot beat the favorite on paper. But there are reservations.
The trouble is that Hyper (5-2) is coming off a top try in a Canadian Grade 1 just three weeks ago and returns on what is considered short rest these days. I'm positive this weighs heavily on Chad Brown--yet another fan of the 5-6 week time frame but there is a $250,000 pot, the horse obviously is doing well or wouldn't start, and who can stop Ken Ramsey in 2013, anyway.
So we'll take Hyper to win at 8-5 or greater and key-box him in exotics with in-form Imagining (7-2); tough-tripper Sky Blazer (6-1); classy filly Tannery (5-1); and price shots Hangover Kid (20-1), carefully pointed here, and Nutello (15-1), good U.S. debut at Spa then dull with Lasix last time--no Lasix today.
Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1423
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 432-270-215
Amount Wagered: $2,846 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,9240.60
Profit to Date: $94.60