Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, November 30, 2013

Mott Runner Will Flat Out Improve

Since its inception as the NYRA Mile, this Grade 1 has always lived up to that kind of status. And so it will again today.

Cases can be made for four horses, probably more, but we'll concentrate on: Groupie Doll (3-1), who might have gotten off to a slow start but appears to still be moving forward.

Then there's Clearly Now (5-1), who has gotten good at the right time--the end of his 3YO--since the addition of blinkers, and Goldencents (7-2), who benefitted from a speedy SA surface but was used hard and pressed hard throughout a two-turn mile from the extreme outside post and was clearly best taking the Dirt Mile.

But it's Flat Out (6-1) who's most intriguing to us. He was doing very well in SoCal leading up to the Classic then raced wide throughout in a tough-trip effort. Having said that, however, he was completely empty in the lane. Should he rebound here, he won't be the first Bill Mott trainee to jump up following a non-effort.

He's not your typical miler type, yet his record is a worthy (5) 2-2-1. He ships in here from Payson--he still must be doing well to log these frequent flyer conditions--and an outside post in a race that promises a contested pace, helps here, plus he gets familiar partner Junior Alvarado back in the boot.

Taking Flat Out to win at 4-1 or great and key-boxing him in multiples with his three rivals listed above.

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1431

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 436-270-216

Amount Wagered: $2,862 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,979.30

Profit to Date: $107.30

Written by John Pricci


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