Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, December 06, 2013

Willet She or Won’t She?

Today's Big A feature is the Touch of Love Stakes for fillies and mares state-bred 3-year-olds and up racing the hybrid 7-1/2 furlong distance.

When last seen, Willet (9-5) steadied after breaking out of hand at the start of the Grade 2 Go for Wand on this track going a mile Nov. 29, was pushed to get into winning contention 4-wide on the turn, then finished one-paced in a dull performance.

Today, it's back to reality, a restricted event for a barn that's a profitable 50% in (6) non-graded events and is 2-for-2 on wet tracks, the likely scenario here. In fact, a wet surface gets her into the game earlier and more willingly, and today's dynamics suit.

Taking Willet to win at early line odds or greater and key boxing her first and second in exactas with the speedy La Verdad (2-1) and the very consistent Miss Valentine (8-1). The Rudy Rod entry (12-1) can be added to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1434

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 438-270-218

Amount Wagered: $2,870 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,988.40

Profit to Date: $118.40

Written by John Pricci


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