Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, December 14, 2012

A Beatable Todd-Johnny Favorite? Really?

For the third consecutive day, the Gulfstream Park feature is an optional/preliminary allowances, today's a 5-furlong turf sprint for fillies and mares 3 & up. The race boasts an 8-5 Todd Pletcher-trained favorite with Johnny Velazquez in the boot. The filly has obvious merit, of course, but we'' take the value offered on Spun Cap (4-1).

A 3YO daughter of Hard Spun, she's proven fastest on the Equiform scale by virtue of her debut win at the distance in Kentucky. Subsequently, she was a willing third in a listed stakes at Saratoga following a problematic start then tried Keeneland's Polytrack at 7 furlongs after that. Back to her best game today with a switch to hot riding Rosario,

Taking Spun Cap to win at 5-2 or greater, an exacta box with the favorite, and adding old pro, course loving Lady Rizzi (8-1) to the exotic mix.

Running Totals: May, 2007-Present

Number of Selections: 1214

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 373-238-182

Amount Wagered: $2,4230 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,550.50

Profit to Date: $120.50

Written by John Pricci


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