Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Thursday, September 28, 2017


If At First You Don’t Succeed… Reload ADW


I'm streaky, but this recent run raises absurd to a new level...

Thursday, we believed a Chad Brown-trained favorite was unbeatable; Friday we're putting ourselves in a position to have his horse beat me.

That's the way the game works, right?

Brown saddles Black Sea (8-5) in today's 10-furlong allowance turf feature, but we'll try to upset him with Tathqeef (5-2).

Four-year-old McLaughlin trainee has more upside, better spacing, competitive figures and the aggressive Carmouche should assure he'll be in this throughout.

Taking Tathqeef to win at 2-1 or greater and a exacta box with the favorite.

*****

Number of Selections since 2007: 2372

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 705-473

Amount Wagered: $4,744 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,804.20

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $60.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (4)


 
 

The New Boss Same as the Old Boss


The place you use it is the place you get it back and it's interesting--some might say boring--that every feature lately seems to boast a Chad Brown-trained favorite that looks clearly best on paper.

Such is the case today with Going for Broke (2-1).

Making her third start this year, she just missed in a rapidly run 7 furlongs at the Spa, a prep that was not enough to stretch out at the Grade 1 level next time out; much too big a leap given the circumstances.

Now she returns to allowance company at a distance at which she's 2-for-2 and also 2-for-3 over this surface.

Taking Going for Broke to win, no price restrictions, keying her in exactas with Tejana (6-1) and Girl Talk (4-1).

*****

Number of Selections since 2007: 2370

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 705-472

Amount Wagered: $4,740 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,804.20

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $64.20 {Wednesday results not included}

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, September 27, 2017


Making the Case for Pace


Trying to find pace in today's featured 10-furlong preliminary allowances has made my hair hurt.

My best guess is that it will be favored Dovecote (2-1) with the opportunistic Castellano who will seize the initiative.

Her other attributes are good speed figures on both the Thoro-Graph and Pricci Energy scales and in this case, recency makes our guess about the likelihood that this half of the Chard Brown uncoupled entry will be in this race throughout.

Taking Dovecote to win, no price restrictions, and exacta keys with Church Social (4-1) and Homeland Security (7-2).

*****

Number of Selections since 2007: 2370

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 705-472

Amount Wagered: $4,740 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,804.20

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $64.20

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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