Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Friday, April 23, 2010


It’s War on the Keeneland Turf Course


Today’s Keeneland feature as the meet winds down is the Grade 2 Elkhorn for older turf specialist at the marathon distance of 12 furlongs. As you might suppose, this large field is wide open.

Since we’re a fan of class and grass, as well as tactical speed and positioning, it’s hard for us to get past the invading Sudden Path (6-1). A two time winner at the marathon trip and 1-for-2 over this surface, the five year old gelding has come to handle this year for Ken Mc Peek.

All this makes sense since the gelding has earned his two best lifetime figures at this trip, is set to move forward off his latest, and has shown tactical ability and kick.

With Alex Solis on the re-ride, Sudden War is finally getting away from Bourbon Bay, the turf start of the recent Santa Anita meet who took the San Juan Capistrano for his third victory of the meet. The lightly raced late developer should continue making progress and be in this one throughout given a favorable draw.

Taking Sudden War to win at 9-2 or greater and keying him in multiples with Timeless Fashion (6-1), seeking his fourth straight, classy old pro Brass Hat (8-1), dropping and reuniting with Calvin, and Transduction Gold (12-1) who made a bold wide rally to just miss place in the Mervin Muniz at Fair Grounds now making his third start off the layup.

Running Totals: (636) 200-127-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,389.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Thursday, April 22, 2010


Floating Heart in Minor Upset


An opportunity to beat a favorite in today’s featured Grade 3 Grey Goose Bewitch at 12 furlongs on turf for older fillies and mares. It just seems that Lady Shakespeare (5-2) always runs well but never delivers.

Lady Shakespeare, meanwhile, might not even be the best horse. If it’s judged by the company you keep, then that distinction should go to Floating Heart (3-1) who’s been keeping G1 and G2 company in SoCal.

Earning good performance figures in synth races that Zenyatta and Zardana appear in takes some quality. Further, Joe Talamo comes in to ride her for Todd Pletcher. She is also 1-for-1 on this course, at this distance. She looks like a classy, late developing turf whiz. This would be good first step.

Taking Floating Heart to win at 5-2 or greater.

Running Totals: (635) 200-127-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,389.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, April 21, 2010


Beat Mr. Fantasy in Big A Feature? You’re Dreaming


Interesting feature to begin the week at Aqueduct, the overnight Billy Redcoat Stakes for older state-breds going seven furlongs. The bad news is that the favorite looks very difficult to beat.

Last year, Mr. Fantasy (8-5) was on the Derby trail until and injury forced the end to his season. But this year he’s come back for a new barn, Mike Hushion’s, that gave him a six furlong prep for today’s feature.

And how do we know this? Because Hushion is a whopping 50 percent effective with horses he starts for a second time. Further, he’s a Grade 3 winner going a mile which means seven furlongs is a perfect fit here, as does the presence of Ramon Dominguez on the re-ride.

Taking Mr. Fantasy to win, no price restrictions, and will try to optimize in the multiples. Dr. W. (5-1) showed big improvement for Asmussen and returns over the same track and distance, Mor Chances (6-1), who’s 2-for-3 at the distance and whose trainer Rick Dutrow is a worthy 34 percent profitable with third-off-the-layup performers, and Good Card (15-1), who showed much improved early speed last out and was second under similar conditions in a strong run 7 furlongs last fall.

Running Totals: (633) 200-126-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,389.50 [win selections only] {Tuesday’s results not included}

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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