Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Thursday, April 26, 2012


Senada; It All Fits


Today’s Keeneland feature on the penultimate day of the spring meet is the Grade 3 Bewitch for older fillies and mares going a mile and a half on turf. These are, of course, “rider’s races.”

You need timing, and the trip, and the ability to get the trip and it never hurts, especially on the Lexington green, to have shown an affinity for the course.

Enter Senada (4-1) who not only fits all the parameters as detailed above but has been sent through her paces three times—13 furlongs--in the past 11 days, an indication that Barclay Tagg means business today.

Yes, she earned an excellent performance figure on the Equiform scale at the distance and over the course, and a switch to Castellano and an inside post and likely ground-saving run can seal this deal in an otherwise open spot.

Taking Senada to win at 3-1 or greater and keying her first and second in multiples with Here To Here (5-2), a G3 winner last out, and Woodford Belle (3-1), who draws the meet’s leading rider in Leparoux for the very live and productive Michelle Nihei.


Running Totals: (1067) 328-210-158 Total Dollar Return: $2,259.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, April 25, 2012


The One and Only Dos Lunas


Today’s Keeneland feature, a secondary allowances for older fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth on the Keeneland turf course, boasts an evenly matched group and the question for us is twofold:

Do we take the fastest horse by definition, the filly coming off a lengthy layoff for Chris Clement whose Equiform figures are clearly faster than the group on her best go, or one with recency who’s repeating a favorable stretchout pattern and has raced well on this course?

Clement’s Blue Maiden (2-1) with the meet’s leading rider, Julien Leparoux, was competitive in graded competition in California and owns a win at today’s trip. But we will side with Dos Lunas (5-2) who reunites with Jon Court whose patience suits this filly well.

The clincher, however, including her ground saving position is the fact that she earned an excellent performance figure on this ground when narrowly beaten here, a neck loss behind redoubtable Winter Memories. Court’s patience will be needed and hopefully will pay dividends in this spot.

Taking Dos Lunas to win at early line odds or greater and keying her in money positions with the favorite and sharp working Startling Beauty (7-2). Super exotic players can add Gorder-trained returnee Maid of Silver (7-2) to their mix.

Running Totals: (1066) 328-209-158 Total Dollar Return: $2,259.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Sunday, April 22, 2012


Don’t Be Foolish, Take Wise Dan


What a nice race for the final Sunday of Keeneland Spring. It’s the Ben Ali a Grade 3 sporting some top talent including the favorite Wise Dan (7-5), that’s going to be a very tough out.

Normally we’d look to beat highweights (spotting 5 pounds to the field) making the first start of the year especially at short odds.

But when they’re fastest on performance figures sport higher graded credentials, love the surface, attracts Johnny Velazquez and make their seasonal debut for Charlie Lopresti, a worthy 32% profitable with 90 day-plus layoffs, it’s reasonable to expect a strong effort, even in a layup situation.

Need more convincing? Wise Dan has had two starts at 9 furlongs, and won them both. Further, it is widely believed that geldings come into their own physically at 5. Happy birthday to all.

Taking Wise Dan to win with no price restrictions and keying him in multiples with Guys Reward (10-1)-Romans profitable going turf to synthetics-and the sharp working Ioya Big Time (10-1). Super exotic players can add distance loving Cease (3-1) to the mix.

Running Totals: (1065) 327-209-158 Total Dollar Return: $2,255.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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