Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Thursday, March 08, 2012


Go Long with Indy


Yet another interesting Gulf feature, this one a preliminary allowances or 2-lifer for older horses going 9 furlongs that features plenty of good older horses that for one reason or another have failed to break through this condition.

The early line favorite is Self Control (5-2) who’s been spot-shopping for the Chad Brown outfit recently. Talented and lightly raced, he seems well spotted in this group after dead-heating with similar. The son of Lemon Drop Kid is suited by stretchout and he retains Castellano. Very logical, indeed.

So what’s wrong with the horse he dead-heated with, E. H. Indy (5-1)? Nothing, actually. He’s done his best racing over this ground and the Martha Gerry homebred owns a pedigree that screams for today’s added distance. Trainer Angel Penna Jr. is profitable lifetime with this type, the spacing is perfect and profitable, and the late developing 5-year-old has been working very steadily and with purpose recently.

Taking E. H. Indy to win at 4-1 or greater, exacta key boxes with the favorite and nicely developing price shot Unbridled Kimanchi (8-1), and adding turf-to-dirt Devon Rock (6-1), first-time Pletcher Eye On Jacob (3-1) and strong working Believe In A.P. (15-1) to the super-exotic mix.

Running Totals: (1038) 321-203-149 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, March 07, 2012


Get the Bling in GP Feature


Today’s featured 9th race at Gulfstream Park is a good one; from an entertainment standpoint and with an opportunity to find true value. No search warrants necessary to find the favorites: The early line choice is Gentlemans Code (3-1), coming off an extensive layoff. Since it’s coming from Wesley Ward’s barn, that’s not a concern.

Considering, too, it’s been toughened in stakes, broke his maiden on turf in Europe, was last seen in a race that produced four next-out winners, and is being handled by underrated stable rider Jeffrey Sanchez, he’s going to be a tough out.

As is Faretti (4-1), a good-figure first-out maiden winner under identical conditions here five weeks ago. The turf speedster goes for Team Clement/Castellano.

But it’s Blings Express (8-1) that’s intriguing. We generally don’t take first-time turfers against proven surface winners with good Equiform figures. The gray colt earned both those lifetime wins at today’s trip, the wins coming over Tapeta at Presque Isle Downs.

We look for that form to translate to turf for a barn that’s profitable with first-time grass runners and is a worthy 19% efficient in third start off-the-layoff scenarios.

Castellano switches to Clement’s horse which should add to the price potential, but it does get Paco and an inside post. He ran as fast on the Equiform scale at 2 than his competition has at 3.

Taking Blings Express to win at 6-1 or greater and key boxing him first and second with his two rivals here.

Running Totals: (1037) 321-203-149 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Sunday, March 04, 2012


That’s My Girl


Today’s Gulfstream Park feature, the Ladies Turf Sprint Stakes, has attracted a gate full of eclectic runners, from here, there and anywhere at all in the 10th race.

The early line favorite, Broken Dreams (5-2), has it all, company lines, excellent figures on the Equiform scale, and top turf connections in trainer Tom Proctor and rider Jose “Big ‘Cap” Lezcano—a worthy early favorite indeed.

Then comes the extremely prolific 8-year-old old pro Suzzona, shipping south for a barn that’s a profitable 25% in that scenario with Julien Pimentel along for the ride. An amazing 18-time winner at the distance, it probably the extended layup that chased the linemaker away (10-1).

But we believe that, her highweight assignment notwithstanding, Jenny’s So Great (8-1) will prove the most reliable given the race shape, post, and the presence of the underrated Joe Rocco Jr.

‘Jenny’s figures are competitive on her best go and hails from a barn that’s profitable with all its turf runners and excels in turnback scenarios, the case here. There’s plenty of pace to set the table and her outside slip almost insures the rider will attempt a bold finish in the clear from the center of the course.

Taking Jenny’s So Great to win at 6-1 or greater and key boxing her first and second with her main rivals here.

Running Totals: (1036) 321-203-149 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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