Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Saturday, January 23, 2010


Condition Over Class


Today’s feature can be called storied because it has a significant history. Then it used to be worth more than $65,000 and, if memory serves, was once graded. It’s only significance today is that it marks the return of a very nice sprinter, the five year old gelding Driven By Success (1-1).

He is, by definition, the fastest horse, and he’s earned his best performance figures on this surface. He’s been working very well and, since he’s been competitive in graded company, this should easily be do-able. But the message is getting old.

Instead, we will opt for the much improved early season four year old, Wall Street Wonder (4-1). His last race, his first for trainer John Terranova, was his best, and at his tender age has license to keep improving.

He has enough gas to stay within hailing distance of the likely pace-setting favorite and could out kick that rival on conditioning alone. Or not.

Taking Wall Street Wonder to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with Driven By Success.

Running Totals: (579) 180-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,239.40 [win selections only]



Written by John Pricci



 
 

Friday, January 22, 2010


When Handicapping, Every Little Thing Counts


As I was saying with my new best friend Pony, these races are uninspiring. Today’s feature, the third race, given the purse value, gives uninspiring a bad name.

A five horse race, a preliminary allowances for three-year-old fillies, which you’d think might fill relatively well, boasts a 1-2 ML choice that, on performance figures, justifies that estimate, and with precious few alternatives.

Offlee Cool responded to the addition of blinkers, switch to winter track and stretch to two turns with a wet-track score that was considerably faster than her rivals.

With the exception of Doris D., coming out of sprints for a good stretch-out barn, it appears Dominguez will control the pace with the Dutrow-trained favorite.

While she’s slower, we like the development pattern shown by the Pletcher trainee, Every Little Thing (4-1), won her debut on the winter track. The margin was substantial, but the race was pokey and competition inferior maiden claimers.

But her spacing is better, she has two-turn style, given her late-pace figures, and retains David Cohen.

We’ll take Every Little Thing to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with the favorite.


Running Totals: (578) 180-116-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,239.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Thursday, January 21, 2010


Slow and Speedy a Winning Parlay


Before getting to today’s featured third race allowances, based on purse distribution, as Aqueduct, an apology. Generally, when there’s racing on Monday in New York, the track is dark Tuesday and Wednesday. That wasn’t the case yesterday but once I realized it, it was too late.

Anyway, favorite McVictory (7-5) will be a tough out. Following a career best performance figure two back, in Belmont slop, she returned with a promising winter track effort, making a premature run to the lead before tiring late. This was accomplished off a stronger than normal early pace for her; she will benefit.

But there’s good value being offered by the slower Olde Glamour (7-2) and she looks like a viable alternative. A three-time winner on this surface, she also boasts three wins and a placing in four starts at the distance; good stuff.

Further, she might be able to control the early pace once again and the race she comes from on Jan. 8 already has produced a next out winner. David Cohen has opted to ride the favorite but Gabriel Saez is a more than able replacement.

Taking Olde Glamour to win at 5-2 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with McVictory and sharp working Pamona Ball (5-2).

Running Totals: (577) 180-116-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,239.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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