Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, February 12, 2009
A Golden Opportunity for the Levine Barn
Today’s feature is a secondary allowances/optional claimer for older state-bred fillies going a mile and 70 yards. A wide open two-turner, the fillies of main interest here are Vladimira (4-1) and early line favorite Golden Win (3-1). But any of four fillies could wind up the public’s choice.
Vladimira is nothing if not consistent. She runs performance figures that are consistently competitive with this group and she earns them under virtually any scenario. Her last effort was especially good visually, drawing away late to win her winter track debut and showing the kind of development you like to see in a newly turned four-year-old.
She gets a break in the weights under 7-pound apprentice Maylan Studart and has held fair if a recent short bullet blowout is any measure.
But Golden Win has a lot going for her, with the possible exception of her outside draw at this distance. The good news is that she’s run almost as fast as these early in her three-year-old season and now returns with added maturity for the Levine barn, a very worthy and profitable 32 percent efficient with returnees off greater than 90-day layups.
Levine also is a profitable 31 percent when adding Lasix for the first time. Further, his filly has a fairly significant pace advantage here which should enable her to gain the lead before reaching a first turn that comes up quickly at this distance. Noted speed rider C. C. Lopez is a huge plus.
Taking Golden Win to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with Vladimira and Baroness (7-2), who showed improved early speed in last.
Running Totals: (361) 112-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Roxie, aka Value
The NYRA racing week begins with a three-quarter mile sprint for older fillies and mares open to second allowance fillies or $50,000 optional claiming entrants. One of the latter, Labadeel (6-5) will be the prohibitive choice at post time. And why not?
She’s consistently faster than these--by many lengths--and she seemingly has already beaten better rivals out of town. Entered with apprentice Sheldon Russell, she’ll get rivals pounds from most of her main rivals here, has a good outside post in a short field and hails from a barn very adept at shipping in--29 percent efficient is Anthony Dutrow in that category.
However, we’ll opt to throw deeper in this spot. While four-year-old Aka Roxie (8-1) is not nearly as fast, she’s lightly raced and improving with a fine developmental pattern. Further, she can deal with hot fractions, attracts the talented Frankie Pennington up from Philly Park for the ride, and trainer Robert Reid Jr. is on a mini-roll shipping into NY this winter, indeed is profitable for a career with his shippers. ‘Roxie’ is drawn right outside the choice and should sit on her hip until Pennington gives her a cue.
Taking Aka Roxie to win at 5-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Labadeel.
Running Totals: (360) 112-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, February 08, 2009
This Westsider Can Fly
Today’s feature at the Big A, a preliminary allowances/optional claimers at 6 furlongs for older males is a head scratcher. There are so many different ways to go but I fear the best horse is the early line favorite Westside Flyer (3-1), who’s coming off a lengthy layoff.
His performance figure at 3, with added maturity gained as a debuting 4-year-old, makes him the fastest on performance figures. The fact that trainer Todd Beattie is a profitable 25 percent efficient after 330 ship-in efforts is no less than remarkable. And he’s already 2-for-2 shipping in for this meet and 1-for-1 using leading rider Ramon Dominguez.
The gelded son of West Acre has tactical speed and an inside draw and will be in this throughout. He’s worked strongly at Laurel after leaving his Penn National base. His ‘A’ race wins this.
Taking Westside Flyer to win at 2-1 or greater and keying his first and second with razor sharp The Last Word (7-2) from the hot Parisella shed and Gimmearoutine (8-1) who could make another forward move here.
Running Totals: (359) 111-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $777.90 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci