Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
Today’s feature at Belmont Park, a starter allowances going a flat mile for three year olds and up, has drawn a rather eclectic group; shippers, barn changers, ostensibly cheap claimers, you name it. Regulars know we also seek value first and given a race fraught with uncertainty, that’s seems mandatory here.
Even with a relatively small field--half the Carlos Martin (same rider named) entry must be scratched--there’s the promise of a lively pace from this group. Race shape, trainer stats, improved figures and an early line price of 4-1 indicates that Awesome Mich is where you want your money.
Trainer Mark Hennig has gotten the optimum for this three year old gelding after adding blinkers two starts back. He has tactical speed, which will place him wherever Eibar Coa wishes, is forward looking on performance figures and the spacing is good for this improved runner making his third start off a layoff, a 25 percent proposition for this outfit. We acknowledge he’s racing around one turn here but the distance suits perfectly.
Taking Awesome Mich to win at 3-1 or greater, and boxing him in the exactas with streaking favorite El Tamberito (2-1) and new acquisition Il Postino (6-1).
Running Totals: (452) 135-94-61 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, June 28, 2009
Summer Geisha Looking Exotic
Today’s Grade 2 First Flight at Belmont Park drew six talented sprinting fillies and if three of them; Carolyn’s Cat (2-1), Porte Bonheur (5-2) or Summer Geisha (4-1) can produce her ‘A’ race, they win it. The question, obviously, is which one.
While still unsure of that answer, it is more than likely that Summer Geisha will be the value at post time. The thinking is that not many folks would be inclined to trust her good races at Philly Park. We think she can.
She earned an excellent, competitive figure at the distance two back then returned with an even better effort while establishing a new pace top. No wonder trainer Bruce Levine is thinking it’s time to test the graded stakes waters.
Taking Summer Geisha to win at 7-2 or greater and keying her first and second in the multiple pools with her two rivals here.
Running Totals: (451) 135-94-61 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, June 27, 2009
Bo and Rail, Need More?
We wanted to get away from today’s Mother Goose featuring Rachel Alexandra, the 1-5 early line favorite, so we settled on the restricted Fratello Ed for state-breds. And what this mile and a sixteenth turned out to be was a battle between favorites Wishful Tomcat (5-2 and Z Fortune (3-1).
Wishful Tomcat has been well, a bear, since leaving graded stakes company on SoCal and returning to New York to meet his peers. Trainer Rick Dutrow undoubtedly has ground the hole card.
Two for two recently on the local tracks, the 4-year-old ridgling improved his record to 2-for-3 at the distance, with the third another money finish, and he’s been dominating with his early speed. But he doesn’t just last. He kicks on strongly indicating that he’s not a one dimensional type. That will help here as there’s speed signed on today. He’s five weeks fresh, has worked thrice since his last win in this company and retains leading rider Dominguez.
Z Fortune, breaking from the rail with Borel, gets the mount from Steve Asmussen, who obviously will saddle the filly later in the day. This outfit takes no chances. In fact, Z Fortune is part of an uncoupled entry with a mate that owns some early speed and Johnny Velazquez, who will try to press things or work out the perfect stalking trip from his outside slip. The race shape suits this late kicker, a winner of his only start over Big Sandy. This looks like the right wake-up spot.
Taking Z Fortune to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Wishful Tomcat.
Running Totals: (450) 135-94-60 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci