Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, July 04, 2012

Clement’s Miler the Right One in Featured Poker

Today’s featured ninth race at Belmont Park on Independence Day is the Grade 3 Poker Stakes at one mile on the Widener turf course has drawn a full, competitive full field and a terrific betting race.

The early line favorite is one of the best claims of 2011, the 6-year-old Compliance Officer (5-2), who has now won half of his 14 lifetime starts on the Elmont green, has drawn pole position and Javier Castellano, aboard for his most recent win in the state-bred Kingston Stakes.

And he did so over this course at the distance, overcoming a slow pace.

But he’s not as fast on performance figures as Right One (3-1), whose best figures have come at this trip and another top effort on this course, albeit at 7 furlongs. And right now, Christophe Clement is pushing all the right buttons.

Drawn outside with more tactical speed than the favorite, he has a speedy rival breaking immediately to his inside and Julien Leparoux, who has taken the re-ride, should sit just off his flank, possibly cover up, and get first run on Compliance Officer when ready. Or at least that’s how you draw it up in a perfect world.

Taking Right One to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with the favorite, and adding Queen’splatekitten (6-1), Monument Hill (12-1) and Voodoo Storm (8-1) to the super-exotic mix.

Running Totals: (1108) 341-214-167 Total Dollar Return: $2,349.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, July 01, 2012

Chance for Value in the Bed o’ Roses

The first impulse a handicapper has when he looks at today’s Grade 3 Bed O’ Roses Handicap is to try to beat the 8-5 early line favorite. Coming back relatively soon after a very hard fought G2 victory, it’s reasonable to think that a top effort might not be forthcoming, especially beneath high weight of 122 pounds.

But the race shape falls into her lap as chances are that the super sharp ship-in Catinatree (10-1) will take advantage of her draw and zip to the front, in receipt of nine pounds from the favorite.

Drawn right alongside in post 7, Junior Alvarado should enjoy a stalking trip on a 5-year-old mare that’s never been beaten on this surface. However, it doesn’t make sense to take a short price, likely somewhere around even money, for a mare coming off a significant lifetime best performance figure.

The filly in the best spot to make an aggressive inside-out turn move is Derwin’s Star (3-1) since, despite the class rise, she owns enough tactical speed, gets eight pounds from the choice, is 2-for-3 at the trip and attracts Ramon Dominguez. She has the back figures to compete and her spacing seems ideal. Further, she blew out sharply at her Parx base for this.

We’ll take Derwin’s Star to win, at a minimum of 3-1, box her in the exacta with the favorite, and add price shot Catinatree to the exotic mix.

Running Totals: (1107) 340-214-167 Total Dollar Return: $2,342.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, June 30, 2012

Double Your Pleasure, Double Your Fun

For a complete analysis of today's Grade 2 stakes from Belmont Park, see Pricci Morning Line on the lead page

For the record, taking Banimpire to win the New York Stakes, no price restrictions.

For the record, taking Zetterholm to win the Dwyer at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Teeth Of The Dog.

Running Totals: (1105) 340-214-167 Total Dollar Return: $2,342.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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