Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, May 12, 2012

Teeth Of The Dog Sharp for Peter Pan (Sorry)

Today's feature at Belmont Park is the Grade 2 Peter Pan Stakes for three-year-olds racing 9 furlongs and for those with a possible eye on the Belmont Stakes. No fewer than half the 12 horse field have a better than puncher's chance to win it and value, even with public choices, almost seems assured. We'll take any value offered on Teeth Of the Dog.

Originaly consider a Preakness probable, trainer Michael Matz called an audible and has entered the colt here. After breaking maiden at Gulfstream Park, Bluegras Cat colt shipped north and finished a valiant third in the G1 Wood Memorial, an excellent finish considering the increase in distance and class. The grandson of Deputy Minister is developing beautifully.

Never taking a backward step of the Equiform scale, he's shown an ability to distribute his energy efficiently from his very first start. His Wood Memorial figure was competitive to the group and the spacing is excellent for his return. Colt had sharp blowout at Fair Hill training center, Joe Bravo takes a return call and should take advantage of a favorable race shape.

Taking Teeth Of The Dog to win at 5-1 or greater, and key boxing him in multiples with sharp working Mark Valeski (5-2), Jerome winner The Lumber Guy (7-2) and Le Barnardin (15-1), who defeat older horses last time out.

Running Totals: (1077) 331-210-161 Total Dollar Return: $2,281.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Clement’s Filly Figures to Make Amends in Belmont Feature

Today's featured 9th race at Belmont Park is for older allowance fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth feature a classy filly making her U.S. debut, and Todd Pletcher trained $575K purchase that looked good breaking her turf maiden at first asking in Lexington and a Christophe Clement second-time starter in this country.

And we think Limonair (4-1) will offer some value given the presence of Chad Brown's import La Pernelle (5-2), and the Pletcher-trained filly, Counterparty (3-1).

When last seen, Limonair, bet to favoritism in her American debut, chase the pace throughout while slightly wide on a hard Gulfstream turf course, appearing a bit headstrong in the process. Tried as he might, Jose Lezcano couldn't quite settle her down but did his until she set sail for the leader while in the three-path on the far turn.

She rallied smartly, cutting into the leader's margin, but couldn't match strides with the winner's explosive turn of foot. Nevertheless, she continued gamely inside a weakened late, as if in need of the effort.

Subsequently, she's worked sharply at her Payson Park base and ships to Belmont, where Clement has gotten off to a good start; (7) 2-2-0 through Thursday's racing. Jose Lezcano accepts a return call and the filly figures to be a lot more fit for today's trip.

Taking Limonair to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing her first and second in multiples with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (1077) 331-210-161 Total Dollar Return: $2,281.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, May 11, 2012

My Sweet Speed

Today’s Belmont feature is a beauty, a preliminary allowances for older fillies and mares sprinting 7 furlongs and a wide open affair it is.

Questing is the early line favorite (3-1) and most likely winner if she improves on a solid U. S. debut going a mile from a wide post at Gulfstream when heavily backed.

She’s been getting ready for this at the Greentree training center in Saratoga. She broke her maiden at today’s distance in Europe and Julien rides her back for Kiaran McLaughlin.

But it’s Sweet Miss Avery (5-1) that looks the best interesting. For openers, she has never taken a backward step on the Equiform scale, the kind of incremental improvement that indicates continued development.

Trainer Michael Stidham is 23% efficient second-time turf and she comes into this with a game front-running money finish on Keeneland Poly last time out. Her recent 3F breeze was fastest of 20 in her peer group that week at Belmont.

Taking Sweet Miss Avery to win at 4-1 or greater, an exacta box with Questing; exotic players can add sharp working Considerate (12-1), from a key race, to their mix.

Running Totals: (1076) 331-210-161 Total Dollar Return: $2,281.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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