Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Any Port in a Storm
Finding the favorite in today’s preliminary allowance feature (turf only, please) at Belmont Park will not require a fishing license. Krista With A K (9-5) has been keeping fast company and proving it by earning the fastest figures in this field consistently--and by a wide margin. She’s the most likely winner.
But Gary Contessa, more a Big A than Belmont type, and more dirt than turf, saddles an interesting entry in Dressmaker (10-1) and Tempest Storm. It’s the latter who is the most appealing. In her most recent start at Aqueduct in which she encountered off ground, she seemed uncomfortable over the going. Not sure what the condition of today’s course will be but it should be more suitable to her than the one across the county line.
With her style, she should have little problem dictating the pace and clearly since improved for Contessa since the claim, winning three grass starts including one over and the course at today’s distance which earned her a career best figure. Making her second start of a layoff and with four-year-old maturity, she figures to go forward from her three-year-old efforts.
Taking Tempest Storm to win at 6-1 or greater (if she flies solo here) and boxing her in the exacta with the Barclay Tagg trained favorite.
Running Totals: (422) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, May 10, 2009
Live Shipper; Big Price
Now for something completely different (can’t believe I never saw the blinkers on Hello Broadway for the Peter Pan--definitely my bad. But interesting if he runs back in, say, the Belmont).
Today’s feature at Churchill Downs is a conditioned allowances/optional claimer sprint that has attracted some talented runners. Time to throw deep.
Trainer Ronny Werner has a win at the meet shipping into Churchill, just like Normandy Shore (15-1) is doing today. He comes in off a new pace top looking to rebound from a big-figure prior. Only this time he’s fresh (7 weeks) and has worked very well. He could win it at the break, indeed, he might have to.
Taking Normandy Shore to win at 10-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Knights Cross (2-1), the speed of the speed and who will be happy to trade Keeneland Poly for Churchill dirt.
Running Totals: (421) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, May 09, 2009
Say Hello to My Little Chestnut Friend
In an apparent accommodation to the way horses are trained in this era, the NYRA wisely moved the Peter Pan to a complete four weeks before the Belmont Stakes. It figured to be a good move not only for aspiring third-leg classicists but for talented late developers wishing to go a distance of ground around one turn all at the same time. Mission accomplished.
While Imperial Council (2-1) clearly is a better horse than he showed in the Wood Memorial and Charitable Man (3-1) clearly is a better horse he showed in his season’s debut at Keeneland neither are a bargain--especially the former--under these circumstance and at early line odds. Hello Broadway (5-2) is unavoidable in this spot.
Showing ability at 2, Barclay Tagg trainee made his season’s debut with an excellent placing in the G2 Hutcheson behind seven furlong specialist Capt. Candyman Can, he wasn’t ready to go two turns off one sprint over the more demanding Tampa surface in the Tampa Derby and raced liked it.
But now with two under his belt and switching to Garrett Gomez, he won a preliminary allowances on the lead going two turns at Keeneland, not an easy go. Since, he’s had two stamina enforcing works, returns to familiar surroundings--he was eliminated at the break in the G1 Champagne at 2--and retains Gomez. The stars are aligned, although you won’t get rich.
Taking Hello Broadway to win at 2-1 or greater.
Running Totals: (420) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci