Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Friday, April 06, 2012


Happy Opening Play


It’s opening day at Keeneland and yet it’s the 3-year-olds that continue to dominate the news, even if the feature race in question is on turf.

The Transylvania Stakes is a Grade 3 event with a $100,000 purse and if State Of Play (3-1) can take down the $60,000 winner’s share, he has a puncher’s chance to make the Derby field--depending on the results of Saturday’s traditional Derby preps, of course.

That’s a lot of ifs but this is why they run the races.

The Graham Motion colt has more going for it in this spot than just incentive. For one thing, he’s already a graded stakes winner on the surface, winning the G2 With Anticipation at Saratoga last out.

Further, he has continued to develop on the Equiform scale and his tactical speed, presence of Johnny Velazquez and the pole can only help matters here. The competitive nature of the field should ensure the likelihood of attaining fair odds.

Taking State of Play to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him in multiples with second off the layup Monastic (5-2), the speedy Silver Max (7-2) and super sharp Icon Ike (7-2).

Running Totals: (1058) 326-207-155 Total Dollar Return: $2,248.60 [win selections only ]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Thursday, April 05, 2012


Get the Money with Revenue


Interesting turf feature at Gulfstream Park, a secondary allowances for older filly and mares sprinting 5 furlongs on the turf.

While Bill Mott has been otherwise engaged in Dubai, his able Payson Park assistants have been putting Revenue (3-1) through her paces and the 4-year-old filly hasn’t missed a beat.

She’s been training to the minute on an every-seven-days schedule and has been moving right along. She’s a proven winner when fresh, has won sprinting on grass and was quick enough to win going 4-1/2 on the Tapeta surface at Presque Isle.

Reuniting with winning rider Joe Bravo, her late run style fitting today’s race shape and with any maturity from 3 to 4, her competitive sophomore turf-sprint figure would be plenty good enough to win this given physical progression.

Taking Revenue to win at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing her in multiples with sharp She’s Packin’ Heat (6-1), classy Lady Rizzi (5-2) and the well spotted Brinca (6-1), reuniting with winning partner Danny Coa.

Running Totals: (1057) 325-207-155 Total Dollar Return: $2,239.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, April 04, 2012


Florida Invasion


A terribly tricky feature at Aqueduct this afternoon, a starter handicap where some of the best form has come from the inner track, where races of this type are around two turns, not one.

Also, there’s one shipping up from South Florida, which is OK, even preferable, except for the fact that we’re talking about a lifetime best effort—and best by a lot. Still, this is the time of year when “strangers,” especially those shippers from the south, excel.

Roman Invasion (6-1) is adaptable enough to come from off the pace but currently sharp enough to contest the pace before drawing off to win at a demanding 7-1/2 furlong middle sprint distance by open lengths.

The spacing is acceptable as his Double Top occurred in early February, yielding sufficient recovery time.

Taking Roman Invasion to win at 5-1 or greater and key boxing him in exactas with Joan’s Choice (9-5), exiting a key race producing two next out winners.

Running Totals: (1056) 325-207-155 Total Dollar Return: $2,239.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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