Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Wednesday, December 01, 2010


A KISS Is Just a Kiss


Ultimately, today’s Aqueduct feature will probably come down to track condition, expected to be wet. But how that will play on this first day of racing on the winter track is a real unknown variable for us.

We’ll try to keep it on the simple side and side with the almost certain post time favorite Black Pen (9-5). His race two back was out-of-character off the charts, a huge lifetime best. He reacted next time out and today could rebound. Even if he does not, to hold form would give him the edge on this group.

If it weren’t for questionable surface conditions, Red Elephant (5-2) would appear very solid. The 4-year-old gelding kept good company at Monmouth this summer, has run well when campaigned in claiming competition, fits the race shape well and picks up Ramon Dominguez.

Frenchonionsoup, making his second start off a layup, comes off a New Pace Top and ran well in his only start on this surface last December.

Taking Black Pen to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first and second in exactas with his two rivals named here.

Running Totals: (770) 246-160-104 Total Dollar Return: $1,703.50 [win selections only] {Tuesday results not included}

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Tuesday, November 30, 2010


Diva’s Gold Going Green


No course in advance handicapping is needed to find the logical favorite and most probable winner in today’s secondary allowance feature at Parx for fillies and mares going a mile and 70 yards.

Ms Vanenzza (2-1) has been competitive in a couple of strongly run overnight stakes, now drops back into allowance company. Trainer Juan Vasquez is batting 30 percent going into the final month of racing in and he’s been getting horses to outrun odds, as indicated by a profitable 2010 ROI. This 3-year-old filly likely will be odds on at post time.

The interesting filly here is the late developing 4-year-old, Diva’s Gold (6-1), who improved dramatically in her second start since Robert Reid’s claim and first on dirt for the new connections. Reid's also having a profitable season.

This miss has a good Parx record with a win and two exacta finishes in three starts over this ground and is a specialist at this hybrid distance, owning a (11) 4-2-1 slate at a mile-and-70. That, and the favorite’s inexperience with this oval, makes the risk worth the potential reward.

Taking Diva’s Gold to win at 5-1 or greater and an exacta box with the favorite.

Running Totals: (770) 246-160-104 Total Dollar Return: $1,703.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Saturday, November 27, 2010


Back to New York, Back to the Circle


As stated, today’s Cigar Mile is a wide open affair, with more than one, capable, wake-up possibility and an couple of sharp runners that will find this test tougher than their last. We find the most interesting to be two wake-up possibilities; Girolamo (5-2) and Musket Man (9-2).

It’s unfortunate the former is coupled with Vineyard Haven, an acknowledged miler who was favored to win this race last year and went well on BC Saturday. Girolamo simply never got untracked from poor inside position.

Also, he might have reacted to his G1 Vosburgh win, a lifetime best. He is 2-for-3 at the distance and his trainer is lights out with the sprint to route stretch-out. Th only concerns are his pole position and unfamiliarity with Aqueduct.

Musket Man is better than his Classic, much better, clearly a throw-out effort. Besides, he’s more miler type that true route type, lost the G1 Carter on this track by a nose and was second this spring to Quality Road to Quality Road in the prestigious Met Mile. And he has a far better post than Girolamo.

We taking Girolamo as the most probable winner at 2-1 or greater, exacta boxes with Musket Man and Friend Or Foe (8-1) , and keying him first and second in exotics also using Haynesfield (7-2) and Bribon (3-1).

Running Totals: (768) 246-159-103 Total Dollar Return: $1,703.50 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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