Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Recency Over Class in Featured Turf Sprint

Today's feature race at Gulfstream Park, the Madcap Escapade, goes as the sixth race for three year old fillies sprinting 5 furlongs on turf. It looks like two fillies, a classy one making a comeback and one with recency that has shown improvement following a switch to the Canani shed.

The fresh filly is My Due Process (5-2) which, after breaking maiden in a Saratoga turf sprint went looking for tougher going longer. It was all too much too soon. However, when she sprinted with overnight stakes fillies, as opposed to the graded kind, she was more than competitive. In steady training for two months awaiting this spot, she is a deserving favorite.

But it's Sabrina's Dance (7-2) that's more interesting, more because of the rider switch to Jose Lezcano, a winner of two turf races yesterday. In her turf debut at Calder over good ground in November, she overcame trouble on the turn in solid come-from-behind victory. On firm GP turf last out, she was rushed off her feet in blazing fractions. WIth the switch to Lezcano and some cut in the ground from an inside post, she's rates the call in a minor upset.

Taking Sabrina's Dance to win at 5-2 or greater, an exacta box with the favorite, and adding Alydarla (4-1) and Marching Skies (6-1) to the exotic mix.

Running Totals: (1024) 317-203-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,184.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, February 11, 2012

Speed and Power in the Hutch

Today's featured race at Gulfstream Park is The G2 Hutcheson Stakes, one of four graded stakes on the afternoon.

Thunder Moccasin (7-5) won an extremely impressive debut with authority, earning an excellent figure with laudable energy distribution. Ever So Lucky has missed a bit of training with foot bruise but was an impressive juvenile for Hall of Famer Sheppard; do not underestimate talented colt but it doesn't seem prudent to take him at a short price.

Of the possible money horses, Il Villano followed series of pace tops with a lifetime best figure. He returns with good spacing and will be running late here. Fast developing Quick Wit never has taken a backward step and attracts Dominguez. Using all three beneath Thunder Moccasin in the exotics.

Running Totals: (1023) 316-203-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,182.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, February 09, 2012

Speed Kills

I's not often we're excited to bet on a horse that's 7-5 on the early line and heading west to Santa Anita to do so (I have a day job back East) but when a hyped favorite is 4-5 and likely to be as low as 2-5 at post time, you've got to take the second favorite at quoted odds--especially if you believe it has a big edge in today's second race. And we think that's the case with Consulado (7-5).

After debuting with an opening good-figure Compression Line at Hollywood Park, it returned on dirt at Santa Anita with a competitive figure win, coming in here off a New Pace Top. Indeed, it's stretching out to one mile today but the Mike Puype runner owns enough pedigree for the task and figures to dominate the early pace beneath the aggressive David Flores.

The Bob Baffert trained Fed Biz is the worthy favorite and a well regarded Triple Crown contender. But we're betting, once again, that speed will kill.

Running Totals: (1021) 316-202-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,182.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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