Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Take Two and Hit to Right

As everyone knows, turf racing results have more to do worth trips than any other factor, all those factors being equal. Today’s featured 9th at Gulfstream is a race that is confounding to plot and to know just where the main contenders are at right now.

And the ones you know about probably will be beaten by one of the developing unknowns that jump up the best. Migraine city.

There are two fillies that appear set to move forward in this spot; one a Pletcher trainee, the other from the McLaughlin barn. Further, we’re talking Castellano and Velazquez, respectively.

How do you separate them? Sadly, you really can’t, so you opt for what’s known. And that leaves us with Sandy Key Gal (4-1).

This filly never has taken a backward step on turf and her latest figure was the best of its kind in today’s matchup. You just hope the short 19-day layup isn’t too much to overcome--today is her third start in 39 days. Hopefully, Paco can engineer a loose lead and they will leave her alone long enough so that she will have enough in reserve.

Taking Sandy Key Gal to win at 7-2 or greater and keying her in multiples with St Pancras (3-1), Almufasa (5-2) and Ten K Cat (8-1), coming off an Equiform Pace Low pattern.

Running Totals: (1012) 312-202-146 Total Dollar Return: $2,1563.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, January 25, 2012

I Owe.. I Owe..To the WIndows I Go

Today’s Gulfstream feature is another one of those competitive SoFla beauties where even short-priced horses can pay well. If performance figures are the measure--and they always are--four of these preliminary allowances/optional claiming 3-year-olds going one mile on turf would fit neatly under one blanket.

Wayward Sailor (6-1) owns the fastest final figure on this course, at this distance, after adding blinkers for Mike Maker On Dec. 11, but things get a little dicey considering that winning figure was earning v. maiden claimers. But, remember, these youngsters can develop virtually overnight.

Liquidity Trap (5-2) is a worthy favorite given his connections (Chad Brown) and the fact he’s turning back to a winning distance and he ,had trouble in his most recent start. Heiko (5-1) moved up considerably first time on this course, and also returns to his maiden-breaking trip with Johnny V. taking the return call for a second start in blinkers.

But it’s Two Months Rent (8-1) that looms the most interesting. After earning an excellent figure in his New York finale, he showed up at Gulfstream last month and virtually had no chance due to very hungry early fractions. Conditions should improve today.

Further, the trouble he encountered in midstretch didn’t help things, and the winner, Howe Great, came back to win Saturday’s Kitten’s Joy Stakes. Jimmy Toner trainee gets switch to Paco Lopez. Good look trying to get early line odds.

Taking Two Months Rent to win at 4-1 or greater and key-boxing him in multiples with the three rivals named above. Super-exotic players would do well to include very sharp Fear The Heat (4-1)

Running Totals: (1011) 312-202-145 Total Dollar Return: $2,163.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, January 22, 2012

There’s Nothing Like a Dayatthespa

Sunday’s feature race, the Sweetest Chant for three year old fillies going a mile on turf, the ninth race at Gulfstream Park, looks easy if performance figures are the measure. And they usually are.

The problem for me is that the second favorite is a horse I’ve been waiting for since last she ran over the local course. The short comment in the past performances is “very rough trip. No hyperbole there.

When last seen, Dayatthespa (5-2)was chasing the pace in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf down on the inside, was outrun on the turn, then finished one-paced after that, beaten 5-1/2 lengths. It was a creditable effort.

City Zip filly working every seven days for Chad Brown, who’s had them ready to go off the bench all meeting long. Her best race will take this.

Don’t take it from me or the chart callers concerning Ann of The Dance’s (3-1) last race; check out the replay of her last in the Ginger Brew at (Dec. 24, 11th race).

The filly tried to make up ground twice but was prevented from doing so, including clipping heels at mid-turn. The fact she was beaten three quarters of a length under the circumstances was nothing short of remarkable. Hot riding Julien Leparoux replaces Luis Saez.

However, we must take Dayatthespa to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Ann Of The Dance, and using Slew’s Revenge (10-1) in exotics, filly who hasn’t gone beyond sprint distances but won her course debut, is bred for distance on the dam’s side and picks up Johnny V.

Running Totals: (1011) 311-202-145 Total Dollar Return: $2,158.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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