Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, February 09, 2012

Speed Kills

I's not often we're excited to bet on a horse that's 7-5 on the early line and heading west to Santa Anita to do so (I have a day job back East) but when a hyped favorite is 4-5 and likely to be as low as 2-5 at post time, you've got to take the second favorite at quoted odds--especially if you believe it has a big edge in today's second race. And we think that's the case with Consulado (7-5).

After debuting with an opening good-figure Compression Line at Hollywood Park, it returned on dirt at Santa Anita with a competitive figure win, coming in here off a New Pace Top. Indeed, it's stretching out to one mile today but the Mike Puype runner owns enough pedigree for the task and figures to dominate the early pace beneath the aggressive David Flores.

The Bob Baffert trained Fed Biz is the worthy favorite and a well regarded Triple Crown contender. But we're betting, once again, that speed will kill.

Running Totals: (1021) 316-202-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,182.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, February 08, 2012

Of Glamour, Glory and Guts

Interesting turf feature drawing a large field of three year old fillies going a mile and a sixteenth to begin the Gulfstream week. The early line favorite is the rapid working Dancing Solo (3-1) from the prolific Pletcher barn whose simply just raining up a storm at Palm Meadows.

But there was little in her turf debut at Saratoga last summer indicating she was something special on that surface; consequently she’s worth trying to beat. Of the three fillies that might prove a viable option, it’s Glamour And Glory that has the best upset potential despite her wide draw.

In her five race career, the filly never has taken a backward step on either surface and her last on turf was excellent as she refused to be compromised by the slow pace. We wish the spacing were a bit more in her favor but we’ll overlook that as turf is less demanding than dirt and her outside draw always assuredly will allow her to offer value.

Taking Glamour And Glory to win at 9-2 or greater and keying her in multiples with the favorite, the interesting price shot Hearts of Red (10-1) and the late finishing EZPZ Lemon Squeeze (12-1).

Running Totals: (1021) 316-202-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,182.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, February 05, 2012

Never Look a Trip Horse in the Mouth

There were two extraordinary maiden breaking performances going long on turf at this meet and we were fortunate to catch one of them. That runner, Finnegans Wake (6-1), also conveniently earned the best performance figure on the Equiform scale and attracts Johnny Velazquez today.

The bad news is his extreme outside post; the probable good news is that the tough post will be built into the odds; it usually is. It had better be. As impressive as the Powerscourt colt was, the depth of this field and his position makes it folly to accept anything less than 5-1.

Taking Finnegans Wake to win and key boxing him in multiples with strong finishing, visually impressive Exothermic (8-1); experienced Patriotic And Proud (4-1); the uncoupled mate of the choice, News Pending (5-1), a winner at 9 furlongs; Saturday Launch (6-1),in here off a Pace Low, and, not least, graded stakes placed Fantastic Song (3-1).

Running Totals: (1020) 316-202-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,182.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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