Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, December 31, 2011

Who Said Disco Is Dead?

Today's featured route for New York bred two year olds is interesting in that while Swag Daddy is certainly a worthy 9-5 early line favorite, he's far from an out bet in this spot. That's because of the presence of another promising colt in the state-bred ranks; Disco On(5-1), beaten only a half length by the favorite when last they met in the Damon Runyan.

After a dull sprint effort in his debut, owner trainer Richard Lugovich stretched him out on the turf and he responded with a maiden score then came back ambitiously in the Runyan and after doing all the dirty work on the lead, pressured every step of the way, he held extremely well to nearly pull off the upset. While he will be a lot shorter price than 28-1 here, he rates an upset call.

Taking Disco On to win at 3-1 or better and an exacta box with Swag Daddy.

Running Totals: (995) 308-200-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,111.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, December 30, 2011

Desert Sage a Wise Choice

Today’s Gulfstream Park feature, a rare “non-winners of 4”/optional claiming for turf fillies and mares going 9 furlongs has one name written all over it; Desert Sage (8-5), which conveniently fits the allowance conditions of this spot to the letter.

The Chad Brown trainee attracts regular partner Jose Lezcano, having a fine meet, and the filly’s next defeat on this course will be her first. She also has two exacta finishes including a win at the distance and has some back class to boot. A tough out, indeed.

Taking Desert Sage to win, no price restrictions, key-boxing her first and second in exactas with nicely spotted and positioned Musical Rain (5-1) and price shot Unbridled Essence (8-1), coming in off a Turf Decline Line with Bravo.

Running Totals: (994) 308-200-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,111.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, December 29, 2011

Yet Another Pletcher-trained Favorite? Afraid So

Today’s feature at Gulfstream Park is another exercise in trying to beat a Todd Pletcher trained favorite and yet another exercise in futility. One could make something up but then you’d have to take a look in your handicapping mirror.

Of course, no one wants to take a short price on a horse that’s been away since the last Gulfstream meet, but Ice Cream Man (5-2) not only won that race after being pressured from the pole throughout but did so in fast time with excellent energy distribution.

The colt has been in steady, serious training since early November 3, a total of 38 furlongs, with three five furlong trials and some sharp, speed sharpeners at shorter distances. His outside slip at this distance and presence of Johnny Velazquez seals this deal.

Taking Ice Cream Man to win at 7-5 or greater and keying him first and second in multiples with uncoupled mate Simba’s Story (7-2) and potential fast finisher Depeche Chat (5-1).

Running Totals: (993) 307-200-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,107.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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