Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, November 04, 2011

So You Think You Have the Classic Winner?

You all know everythng there is to know about the Classic by now. I've been looking at this race, hard, for two weeks and I'm not any closer to having a firm opinion.

The race comes down to either being for or against Uncle Mo. Not many have been a bigger supporter than myself but I'm against him here. Even though he loves, loves, loves Churchill Downs, there are just too many obstacles in his path; namely Havre De Grace, Flat Out and So You Think.

Of those, the filly is almost certain to run her 'A' race which will be good enough to make her the most likely to succeed. Flat Out has been working monstrously, indicating that he might be more than just a belmont horse. But 7-2 in the advance wagering is scary. Bet at 8-1? Absolutely. At 7-2, his odds as this is written, hardly.

Meanwhile, can't believe So You Think, who has accomplished much more than any of his rivals, including the wonderful filly, is 11-1, even with a mere $70,000-plus in the pool.

But we don't think his odds will plummet to any lower than 6-1. That's value on the "best horse" in the field. Yes, it's his dirt debut, but he's nimble and he's a fast galloper, getting Lasix and blinkers for the first time.

Betting So You Think to win at 6-1 or greater, and boxing the exacta with Havre De Grace and Flat Out.

Running Totals: (959) 297-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,056.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Delta Lady

If you're not sure which filly might take today's super feature at Churchill Downs, the Ladies Classic, click back to the lead page and read all about it.

Yes, we're taking Royal Delta to win at 2-1 or greater, and keying her in multiples with Plum Pretty, It's Tricky, Ultra Blend (8-1) and Pachattack (12-1).

Running Totals: (958) 296-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,050.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, October 30, 2011

Cat Gone Wild at Belmont Park

Note that we are shipping to Kentucky early this week and the Feature Race Analysis will return from Louisville in this space on Formerly Filly Friday.

I will be co-hosting an interactive Online Semiar Thursday night from Kentucky with my handicapping partner Cary Fotias and with European maven Nick Mordin from 9 to 11 p.m. EDT.

We will provide an analysis of all 15 Breeders' Cup events in the Equiform Betting Guide as well, with Value Plays, Top Projection Favorites, Exotic Tote Busters, plus a summary of each race. You can sign up for Saturday only, or the two day package. Be forewarned, it's not inexpensive, but Tele Clinic attendees have scored out in four of the past five years.

For more information, click on the Equiform website for details.

Four overnight events, including a couple that likely will come off the grass, leaves us with the Tina Tina Two Stakes for juvenile fillies. The two interesting fillies sprinting six furlongs in today's seventh race are Defy Gravity (5-1), a two-time winner shipping in from Maryland with a sharp recent work and with prior experience over this track.

However, we believe that Select Cat (7-2) is most likely to improve. Making her first start for trainer Eddie Kenneally last out, she was rushed off her feet and tired understandably. The New Pace Top puts her in position to improve here. In her prior start at Monmouth Park, sshe finished third behind place-finishing Say A Novena, who runs next in the Breeders' Cup. Second-time starters for this barn do quite well, an outfit that's 3 for its last 7 starts over Big Sandy.

Taking Select Cat to win at 5-2 or greater, and an exacta box with Defy Gravity.

Running Totals: (958) 296-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,050.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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