Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, October 29, 2011

East Coast, West Coast, All Around the States…

Time to give Santa Anita equal time, not that they deserve it as their morning lines are consistently the last to get posted, making the job of handicappers and bettors--not just me--more difficult. But today is Cal Cup Day and since we did Showcase Day last weekend, well..

We've chosen the Cal Cup Juveniles Fillies, SA's third race, since it's the first and you Easterners don't have to spend your day and night away from home and hearth. In this short six-horse field, there is potential for value, however in Toluca (5-1).

Starlight Magic (2-1) has done nothing wrong on the Equiform scale. She's "fastest" on final figures, has never gone backward in three starts, and distributed her energy a lot more efficiently last out. She's a worthy favortie and will be hard to deny.

But Toluca also is on an excellent line, with an opening Compression followed by consecutuve New Pace Tops with trainer Jeff Mullins batting 23 percent with horses stretch out off two sprints.

Taking Toluca to win at 7-2 or greater, boxing the exacta with the favorite.

Running Totals: (957) 296-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,050.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, October 28, 2011

Surprise Party in the Feature

Today’s featured 7th race at Belmont Park, the overnight Shady Character Stakes, presents a very good opportunity for value--if we’re right, that is.

The favorites for this mile on the turf are Chad Brown’s Big Blue Kitten (5-2), a winner of five straight, and King Congie (7-2), getting class relief in his third off the layup for Tom Albertrani. No knocks on either.

But it’s Naipaul Chatterpaul’s Top Surprise (12-1) that intrigues us the most.

His lifetime best effort came at today’s distance over Belmont turf two starts back, a highly competitive figure to the group before being hindered by a hungry pace in the Grade 1 Jamaica at 9 furlongs, a Pace Low on the Equiform scale. In short, he’s in the mix at a price, especially given low profile connections.

Taking Top Surprise to win at 8-1 or greater, and key boxing him in multiples with the favorites above and adding price shot Clement Rock (10-1) to the exotics.

Running Totals: (956) 296-191-138 Total Dollar Return: $2,050.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, October 27, 2011

Who Do You Like? Pletcher or Pletcher

Today’s featured Real Prize Stakes might have only drawn five entrants but this is a trappy event; be forewarned.

In this one Todd Pletcher has himself to beat with an uncoupled entry of Love And Pride (8-5) and second early line favorite R Gypsy Gold (5-2).

The favorite is coming off a New Pace Top and attracts Castellano, who’s ridden both fillies, and gets class relief dropping from the rapidly run G2 Cotillion.

But R Gypsy Gold has been developing rapidly, is “fastest” on performance figures, gets Velazquez, and held her own with the favorite in a presumed company work on Oct. 21.

And three back, she was a good third in the G1 Mother Goose.

Taking R Gypsy Gold to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with her mate.

Running Totals: (955) 295-191-138 Total Dollar Return: $2,042.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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