Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Friday, August 29, 2008


A Date with Destiny


Two races with names on them, one that might provide the better payoff, the With Anticipation for juvenile grass horses at a mile and a sixteenth.

Bittel Road (2-1) is a worthy favorite even though he’s had only one start--and that at six furlongs. But it was very impressive visually; he seemed to want to go around again.

And even if the course were speed favoring, a two-year-old running six furlongs in 1:08 4/5 with a final quarter-mile in :23 flat is extraordinary. Moreover, he had speed in reserve as he crossed the wire. He’s been handled carefully and has found an excellent spot to have his mettle tested.

But it’s always about value and Skipadate (5-1) was impressive in another way. His debut was around two turns and over Saratoga ground. It was done with turf style--late speed, not early gas--and it was accomplished despite the loss of considerable ground. And it was done in refuse-to-lose style, Mark Casse’s colt struggling to finish on even terms for the win. And the trainer’s horses improve in their second starts going long, a profitable angle.

We’re taking Skipadate to win at 4-1 or greater and an exacta box with Bittel Road.

Running Totals: (264) 81-51-31. Total Dollar Return: $489.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Thursday, August 28, 2008


It’s Not Dreamin If You Can Do It


The Halfmoon overnight Stakes is far from compelling and appears to have been written with Mr. Zito in mind. He has half the field, three of the six entered, and two are coupled. The three, combined are the first two choices on the early line.

The only conceivable value is a sharp four-year-old from lower profile connections who’s fast, gets along well with her rider, likes this surface and the distance. At 7-2, Are We Dreamin looks like a viable value play. A winner of her last, she’s goes again for trainer Randi Persaud, who sports a lofty 32 percent strike rate given that scenario.

A tactical speedster, she breaks in the middle of the pack and that can give Rajiv Maragh options. He’ll need that versatility as we’re sure Zito will devise a running style for his three fillies that would insure victory for one of them. With the exception of Are We Dreamin, the form in this group is a little spotty.

Taking Are We Dreamin to win at 3-1 or greater, no multiple-pool wagers.

Running Totals: (263) 81-51-30. Total Dollar Return: $489.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, August 27, 2008


You Go to the Windows People


If it’s about class on the grass, which it is, that and trips, two fillies in today’s Mollie Wilmot overnight stakes, are getting plenty of class relief, Rewrite (5-2) and You Go West Girl (3-1). And if it’s about value, which it always must be, then the second choice on the early line is value; You Go West Girl should be the right favorite.

Having said that, Rewrite is impossible to fault. She seldom fails to fire her best shot, is not limited by distance and her performance figures are among the fastest in the race. She could not be in better hands than with turf ace Christophe Clement.

But You Go West Girl is just as versatile and while she isn’t 4-for-5 at today’s distance, as is Rewrite, she is 2-for-3, went well in her only start over this ground and has proven consistently faster. The four-year-old has come to hand this season and Tom Proctor is no less a turf ace than Clement.

Taking You Go West Girl to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Rewrite.

Running Totals: (262) 81-51-30. Total Dollar Return: $489.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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