Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Friday, July 11, 2008
It’s a Bird…It’s a Plane…It’s Metro Meteor
The preponderance of feature races on turf continues with today’s sprint at six furlongs, a New York bred secondary allowances for 3-year-olds and up/optional claiming $50,000. It’s an interesting blend of accomplishment and potential.
Certainly, Metro Meteor (3-1) is accomplished. In fact, every time he drops to this level, on this course, at this distance, he responds with his fastest efforts. Couple that with a ground saving position and a switch to turf ace Edgar Prado and you have a solid choice.
The potential comes from a 3-year-old and a 4-year-old. The younger Timberah (7-2) is seeking his third straight win and second on this course and distance as he attempts to take the next state-bred condition. He was visually impressive on May 26 while not running particularly fast, but the spacing is right and sophomores improve significantly at this time, especially lightly raced ones.
Five Towns (6-1) has developed very nicely on turf and the 4-year-old earned his best performance figure at this distance, on this course. Second time off the layup for Christophe Clement, a favorable scenario, he figures to improve with another resembling a decent trip, something he didn’t get in his last. Blinkers have made the difference and he should continue marching forward.
Taking Metro Meteor to win at 2-1 or greater and exacta key boxes with his two contenders here, extra ticket with Five Towns.
Running Totals: (234) 73-49-27. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, July 10, 2008
Run Sully, Run!
Today’s Belmont Park feature, the French Colonial overnight stakes for three-year-olds that have not won a stakes this year, drew a full field and looks suspiciously like a possible prep for the Hall of Fame Stakes in Saratoga in early August. The two fastest horses on performance figures also sport good company lines. Speed and class are dangerous tandem, especially on grass.
El Sultry Sun (3-1) wouldn’t be the first turf horse to ship to Colonial Downs and encounter a soft course which can be very difficult to negotiate. He made a mid-race move off a slow pace before retreating, never a serious threat. He’s better than that, as he showed winning two overnight stakes previously and was a good third in the Grade 3 Calder Derby despite a rough trip breaking from the extreme outside in a field of 11. He reunites with Kent Desormeaux, his pilot at Calder. He is a very deserving favorite.
In terms of development, Run Sully Run (4-1) is not that far behind. He’s been very competitive in stakes, both overnighters and graded events, and finished only a length behind the favorite in the aforementioned Calder Derby and closer than that in a recent Monmouth listed stakes. Subsequent to that effort, he’s been working rapidly at the Shore now ships in for Cam Gambolati, winning at a profitable 21 percent rate for the year and tapping Edgar Prado for today’s assignment. “Sully” carries 118 pounds vs. the favorite’s 123.
Taking Run Sully Run to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with El Sultry Sun. Trifecta players add So It Goes (20-1) and Dynochracy (10-1) to the mix.
Running Totals: (233) 73-49-27. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Blue Horseshoe Loves Pulpitina
With a fortnight to Saratoga, the NYRA racing week begins with a preliminary allowances for fillies and mares sprinting six furlongs. Probably half this field will end up winning a small stakes somewhere, maybe more.
We’ll concentrate on two: favorite City Bird (8-5) and Pulpitina (5-1).
While she never has returned to her top effort at 3, any performance figure resembling it would make her the winner here--by many lengths. She can stalk from close range, has done her best racing on this surface and should benefit from her recent season’s debut. Coming back six weeks fresh for Rick Dutrow and Edgar Prado makes her a tough out here.
Pulpitina is the only potential value in this field. Her start two back was competitive and the promise of a wet track (thunderstorms predicted) can only help, as will her three-year-old debut. As a three-year-old, she gets five pounds from her older rival, Christophe Clement’s horses usually run well second time off the layup and the filly switches to the white hot Alan Garcia.
Taking the value on Pulpitina at 4-1 or greater and an exacta box with favorite City Bird.
Running Totals: (232) 73-48-27. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci