Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, May 07, 2009
Delosvientos Taking Advantage of What Belmont Park Offers Best
Under previous racing secretary’s, the NYRA never took full advantage of Belmont’s unique mile and a half surface. I know, I know, the races wouldn’t fill.
But today’s feature race, the Nasty N Bold did, and guess what? It attracted a nice group of horses.
The most accomplished marathoner is, of course, Delosvientos (7-5), and will be a very tough out. Now only is he 4-for-4 in such marathons and 2-for-2 over the track but he’s versatile, and his early speed in marathons is distinctly pro-profile for this track.
Trainer Giuseppe Iadisernia has done a marvelous job keeping the six-year-old in peak form and jockey Kendry Castillo rides him like he owns him.
Worthy exotics inclusions are Atoned (4-1), Eldaafer (12-1) and Alcamo (3-1).
Atoned is a graded stakes winner bred for distance and a wet track, if that’s the case, and goes for the Pletcher-Velazquez team with a recent bullet work in his PPs.
Eldaafer has turned out to be an excellent claim for John Toscano. He’s won two of three starts since haltered, is an A.P. Indy 4-year-old gelding possessing upside, and goes for his second start under Jorge Chavez.
Alcomo look like the most obvious threat to the favorite. He’s a win machine with a 7-for-17 slate, was a good second in his U.S. debut at Hawthorne after a long layup, and won going long in his native Brazil under staggering imposts.
Note that trainer Eduardo Caramori has been one of the most effective and underrated trainers in the game who must be respected whenever and wherever he shows up.
Taking Delosvientos to win, no price restrictions, an exacta box with Alcomo, and keying him first and second in trifectas with his rivals mentioned above.
Running Totals: (419) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only] (Wednesday’s results not included)
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Finding Pick SIx Gold on SIlver Mountain
With a huge carryover available thanks to Mine That Bird and friends on Derby day, a look at the Churchill past performances lead to a strong contender and possible Pick Six single in the feature race, a money allowances at 11 furlongs on the turf.
Silver Mountain won under these exact conditions last year beneath Miguel Mena, so it’s fitting there’s a rider switch to Mena in his return to the Kentucky circuit.
Trainer Tom Proctor has a terrific record with these types and four-year-old comes off good Keeneland try, mid-race moving into contention and holding fairly well in the late stages for third.
With that conditioning and turning back in his return to a winning scenario dictates a play. Don’t expect to get rich unless, of course, you’re correct in the five surrounding races.
Taking Silver Mountain to win at 2-1 or greater and in an exacta with classy old pro My Happiness (6-1), whose trainer Bobby Barnett is getting horses to outrun their odds of late.
Running Totals: (419) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, May 03, 2009
Another Helping, If You Please
The Bouwerie Stakes for New York-bred fillies at seven furlongs is always an interesting race featuring some fillies are generally wind up the best of their state-bred class.
Today’s favorite obviously is What A Pear (2-1), who was undefeated in New York before shipping to Keeneland for the Ashland; too much competition, not enough dirt. But she certainly belongs here, and will be a tough out.
But we’re going for the gusto with the improving More Oats Please (10-1), half of the uncoupled Tom Bush entry and on a good performance line.
Her early speed keeps getting better and she’s learning, too, if two recent pace tops followed by a reversal on the Equiform scale are the measure--and they are.
She has conditioning turning back off a mile at Aqueduct, a versatile style--speed or stalk--and gets a switch to Eibar Coa, who nicely positioned outside at this distance.
Taking More Oats Please to win at 8-1 or greater and an exacta box with What A Pear.
Running Totals: (418) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
NOTE: We included One Caroline as a loss even though the play was predicated on the presence of Zenyatta to make the price worthwhile. With the scratch, however, and now with One Caroline the odds on choice, we didn’t play. But on the record is on the record. Next time, however, now that you’re forewarned, I’m taking a mulligan.
What? You’ve got a problem with that?
Written by John Pricci