Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, May 14, 2009
Toner Turfer Blazes the Way
Interesting grass feature at Belmont Park, nine furlongs on the inner turf for 3 year olds and up, a secondary allowances optional claimer.
Favorites Plenty Coups (3-1) and Expansion (7-2) will be formidable.
Plenty Coups ships in sharp off a frontrunning effort on Keeneland turf, generally anti-profile, he draws the pole and is well suited by pedigree to the added distance. Ramon Dominguez takes the mount for Barclay Tagg and is expected to take advantage of the prevailing conditions and race shape.
Expansion always never runs a bad one and certainly has plenty of conditioning with his grass marathon experience. Alan Garcia fits him nicely as his last race indicates and he must be adept here, trying to save some ground in the run to the first turn from his outside slip.
But we’ll throw deep in here with Blazing Dynamo, an overlay on the early line at 12-1. Making his second start off a layup, a good move for the Toner barn, he reunites with Javier Castellano for a return to his favorite course at what might be his optimal distance.
‘Dynamo’ earned a good performance figure at this trip previously and both lifetime wins came on Belmont turf. Nicely drawn toward the inside, look for a ground saving attempt by Castellano given the gelding’s modicum of tactical speed.
Taking Blazing Dynamo to win at 10-1 or greater, keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here, adding another course lover, Al Basha (6-1), and odds overlay French Vintage (20-1) to the trifecta mix.
Running Totals: (423) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Any Port in a Storm
Finding the favorite in today’s preliminary allowance feature (turf only, please) at Belmont Park will not require a fishing license. Krista With A K (9-5) has been keeping fast company and proving it by earning the fastest figures in this field consistently--and by a wide margin. She’s the most likely winner.
But Gary Contessa, more a Big A than Belmont type, and more dirt than turf, saddles an interesting entry in Dressmaker (10-1) and Tempest Storm. It’s the latter who is the most appealing. In her most recent start at Aqueduct in which she encountered off ground, she seemed uncomfortable over the going. Not sure what the condition of today’s course will be but it should be more suitable to her than the one across the county line.
With her style, she should have little problem dictating the pace and clearly since improved for Contessa since the claim, winning three grass starts including one over and the course at today’s distance which earned her a career best figure. Making her second start of a layoff and with four-year-old maturity, she figures to go forward from her three-year-old efforts.
Taking Tempest Storm to win at 6-1 or greater (if she flies solo here) and boxing her in the exacta with the Barclay Tagg trained favorite.
Running Totals: (422) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, May 10, 2009
Live Shipper; Big Price
Now for something completely different (can’t believe I never saw the blinkers on Hello Broadway for the Peter Pan--definitely my bad. But interesting if he runs back in, say, the Belmont).
Today’s feature at Churchill Downs is a conditioned allowances/optional claimer sprint that has attracted some talented runners. Time to throw deep.
Trainer Ronny Werner has a win at the meet shipping into Churchill, just like Normandy Shore (15-1) is doing today. He comes in off a new pace top looking to rebound from a big-figure prior. Only this time he’s fresh (7 weeks) and has worked very well. He could win it at the break, indeed, he might have to.
Taking Normandy Shore to win at 10-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Knights Cross (2-1), the speed of the speed and who will be happy to trade Keeneland Poly for Churchill dirt.
Running Totals: (421) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci