Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Evening Jewel? Amen I Say

Today’s Keeneland feature is the Grade 1 Vinery Madison for fillies and mares at 7 furlongs. He early line favorite is Amen Hallelujah (2-1), a good second to the streaking Hilda’s Passion and a certifiable synthetic lover. The problem, however, is that she tends to react to big efforts--and her Inside Info placing was a big effort.

That’s why our interests will rest with Evening Jewel (5-2), with a synthetic slate of (8) 3-4-0 and the winner of her only start over this ground. Trainer James Cassidy has a strong record in graded stakes, has pointed his filly toward this and has given her all the conditioning she needs going longer recently in Southern California. The turnback to 7 furlongs seems to suit her well as does the speedy race shape.

Taking Evening Jewel to win at 5-2 or greater and keying her first and second in multiples with defending Madison champion Dr. Zic (10-1), Amen Hallelujah, and Tremendamente Loca (20-1), whose lifetime best sprint effort came at today’s distance on this surface.

Running Totals: (841) 267-174-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Seeking Value on the Good Horse Circuit

The secondary allowances feature at Keeneland is a beauty, which is to say very competitive, difficult--and ripe for a score. Certainly no one can afford to take a short price.

All the top horsemen are in this group and America’s best riders, too. Today, our focus will be on Cat Park (8-1).

Coming off a Turf Decline Line where she made ground despite a hungry pace, she returns to the scene of one of her best previous lifetime performances on this course.

The spacing is right, as are the connections of Graham Motion and Rosie Napravnik. Yes, the outside post is a big obstacle, but that might help in the mutuel department.

Taking Cat Park to win at 6-1 or greater and keying her in exactas with Hailstone (8-1) and Shrimp Dancer (8-1).

Running Totals: (840) 267-174-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, April 03, 2011

To Honor And Cash

Well, the piece de resistance, finally, and it’s a beauty. There are no secrets at this level, in this race, you know the stories by now. This race is deep and very, very contentious.

Soldat (9-5) is the “now horse,” one “if those if your life depended on it” kind of horses. Solid!

Dialed In (2-1) is gong to run better, you know that. He will get pace in this race; he’s finally training like his conditioner is serious about getting serious.

The workout on Stay Thirsty (8-1) has me baffled, maybe it has Pletcher baffled, too. Maybe, since it’s Pletcher, he’ll win anyway. At those odds he’s certainly value.

I know something else, To Honor And Serve will definitely run better but probably not as good as he’ll run in five more weeks. But at 4-1, given his obvious talent, the odds are fair.

I always hate to lose Johnny to another rival, but GG is a more than adequate replacement.

Taking To Honor And Serve to win at 3-1 or greater, keying him first and second in multiples with his rivals here, adding the nicely developing Arch Traveler (20-1) to the super exotic mix.

Running Totals: (839) 267-174-114 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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