Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, July 01, 2011

Celluloid Heroes Never Really Die

Until it’s made official, why not try to turn this race, the Sky Beauty, into a graded event one day. Just a thought.

Of the two fillies dropping out of he Grade 2 Shuvee won by the 4-for-4 4-year-old Awesome Maria, we prefer R Betty Graybull (5-2) to likely favorite Happy Week (3-1), even if the early line is a counter-indicator.

Scratched from a tougher stakes event recently awaiting this, “Betty” has a history of good race-bad race. Today she’s in line to throw a good one over her favorite surface where she’s won three of nine starts in five exacta finishes.

She comes from a live race and barn that owns a 3-for-6 slate in non-graded stakes. Nicely drawn toward the outside in this small competitive field, she’ll come running late beneath Eddie Castro who’s taking a return call here.

Taking R Betty Graybull to win at early line odds or better and keying her in multiples with Happy Week, Satans Quick Chick (7-2) who usually runs well going from synthetics to dirt, and the improved Distorted Legacy (5-1), a much improved winner over weaker in her recent Belmont Park debut.

Running Totals: (883) 278-180-120 Total Dollar Return: $1,924.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, June 30, 2011

Sleeping Beauty Lives!

Today’s feature, a secondary allowances optional claiming for fillies and mares going a mile on the Widener turf course, appears long on early speed but with horses in varying stages of development, making this a difficult read and virtually impossible to take a short price on whichever filly you fancy.

We’ll reach out for Awakened Beauty (6-1) who’s won both her turf starts at Belmont, has been versatile in both wins, is bred for distance on dam’s side and attracts Castellano, 5-for-11 through Wednesday when riding for Bruce Brown, himself a career flat-bet profit with first-time runners going long.

The filly is not as fast as her rivals here, but she’s never has taken a backward step on the Equiform scale in three grass starts.

Taking Awakened Beauty to win at 4-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with the speedy Bailzee (8-1) breaking from the pole position and dropping from a restricted stakes.

Running Totals: (883) 278-180-120 Total Dollar Return: $1,924.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, June 29, 2011

Take #3 in the Feature, don’t ignore the writing on the wall

Given the odds for today’s Belmont features eighth race, a secondary allowances/optional claiming affair, two horses were attractive based on performance figures and prevailing conditions; Mine Over Matter (9-2) and Writingonthewall (4-1).

My initial instinct was to prefer the former because of 4-year-old upside and a troubled trip last out. For his part, Writingonthewall was hindered by a wet track in last and hasn’t been keeping the same tough company as “Mine” in his recent starts.

Upon further review, however, “Mine” really didn’t get good until the fall of the year last year and his strong trouble line was really much to do about very little.
With the money that the trouble line is likely to attract, it should be a wash as the crowd is also sure to back “Writing” because of the Team Pletcher connections.

With a long time to recover from his enervating effort two starts back, we’re taking Writingonthewall to win at 2-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (882) 278-180-120 Total Dollar Return: $1,924.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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